|

EUR/USD: Bounce stalls near 1.1140, eyes US inflation data

  • EUR/USD is struggling to post sustainable gains above 1.1140. 
  • An above-forecast China data failed to put a bid under the EUR in Asia. 
  • The dollar may run into offers on weak US CPI. 

EUR/USD is flashing green, but the momentum of the bullish move from 1.1085 looks to have run out of steam in the 10-pip range of 1.1140-1.1150. 

The hourly chart shows the pair has faced multiple rejections in the 1.1140-1.1150 range in the last 12 hours. 

China's trade data for December released in Asia showed a big beat on both imports and exports – a sign of strengthening domestic and global demand conditions. Even so, the EUR failed to pick up a bid. 

Focus on US data

The cost of living in the US, as represented by the consumer price index (CPI), rose 0.3% month-on-month in December, the official data due at 13:30 GMT is forecasted to show. 

Meanwhile, the core CPI, which strips out food and energy, is seen rising 0.2%. 

A weaker-than-expected figure could yield broad-based US dollar weakness, helping EUR/USD convincingly scale 1.1150. Note that the greenback was offered on Friday following the release of the dismal wage growth figures for December. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1136
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.1138
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1141
Daily SMA501.1092
Daily SMA1001.1066
Daily SMA2001.114
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1147
Previous Daily Low1.1112
Previous Weekly High1.1208
Previous Weekly Low1.1085
Previous Monthly High1.124
Previous Monthly Low1.1002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1134
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1126
Daily Pivot Point S11.1118
Daily Pivot Point S21.1097
Daily Pivot Point S31.1082
Daily Pivot Point R11.1153
Daily Pivot Point R21.1168
Daily Pivot Point R31.1188


 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks weaker, focus is back to 0.7100

AUD/USD reverses Tuesday’s gains and retreats markedly toward four-day troughs in the low 0.7100s ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The firmer tone in the Greenback weighs on the risk complex amid unabated tensions on the US-Iran front, prompting the Aussie to shed part of recent gains and refocus on the downside. Moving forward, Australian trade balance results should entertain investors early on Thursday.

Japanese Yen bounces up from lows after Japan PM Takaichi’s intervention warnings

The Japanese Yen bounced up from five-week lows against the US Dollar, turning positive on the daily chart, as Japan’s Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi warned that Tokyo is ready to take action against Yen weakness. The USD/JPY pair has pulled back from the 160.00 level, considered a line in the sand for Japanese authorities, to hit session lows at 159.55.

Gold remains under bearish pressure, looks at $4,400

Gold keeps the offered stance well in place, retreating toward the $4,430 region per troy ounce, or four-day lows, on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s retracement comes in response to escalating tensions in the Middle East, which in turn continue to drive oil prices higher while reinforcing the idea of a tighter-for-longer Fed.


XRP eyes rebound despite muted ETF demand
Ripple (XRP) rebounds above $1.23 from support at $1.20 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as the broader cryptocurrency market pares losses triggered by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Appetite for risk assets remains generally low as the United States (US) and Iran exchange fire amid a fragile ceasefire and peace negotiations.
The upside-down math of debt
In 2010, Professors Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff published a paper, Growth in a Time of Debt, which instantly went viral. The main thesis of the paper was that once a government's debt-to-GDP ratio crosses above 90%, a financial crisis and default are around the corner.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.