|

EUR/USD below 1.2300 handle, remains under pressure

  • The EUR/USD is weakening as the US dollar bulls are relentless across the board.
  • US Treasuries yields are spiking for the third consecutive day.
  • The 30-pip rebound at 1.2250 mainly attributed to profit-taking. 

The EUR/USD is trading at around 1.2275 down 0.58% on Friday’s trading as the European forex session is slowly coming to an end. 

The spot just saw profit taking in the 1.2250 region with a 30-pip rebound but the momentum remains tilted to the downside. 

One side finally capitulated in what was a tug of war in the last 3 days where the single currency traded in a tight range between the 1.2350 and 1.2400 level. It was a crowded trade to the upside and the bears finally took the lead and broke through the 1.2350 support in Friday’s European session. 

The euro negative sentiment is exacerbated by recent disappointing data on Wednesday with lower inflation in the Eurozone and speculation of a dovish ECB next week.

Meanwhile, the greenback is on a tear, the US Dollar Index (DXY) spiked almost 0.60% on Friday,  jumping from the 89.90 level to 90.40, smashing through the 90.00 mark with strong momentum.

Underpinning the greenback strength are bond yields which continue their advance for the third consecutive day and are reaching multi-week highs. The US 10-year Treasury yield is spiking above March 21 high and currently at 2.94%. 

Meanwhile, safe-haven gold is down in the 1,3350 region while US stocks are also taking a breather from their recent advance and are currently down on the day as investors are buying the greenback.

EUR/USD 4-hour chart

The current momentum is bearish. Resistance is seen at 1.2300 swing low and 1.2400 swing high while support is seen at 1.2260 demand level, followed by 1.2215 cyclical low.  

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.