|

EUR/USD below 1.2300 handle, remains under pressure

  • The EUR/USD is weakening as the US dollar bulls are relentless across the board.
  • US Treasuries yields are spiking for the third consecutive day.
  • The 30-pip rebound at 1.2250 mainly attributed to profit-taking. 

The EUR/USD is trading at around 1.2275 down 0.58% on Friday’s trading as the European forex session is slowly coming to an end. 

The spot just saw profit taking in the 1.2250 region with a 30-pip rebound but the momentum remains tilted to the downside. 

One side finally capitulated in what was a tug of war in the last 3 days where the single currency traded in a tight range between the 1.2350 and 1.2400 level. It was a crowded trade to the upside and the bears finally took the lead and broke through the 1.2350 support in Friday’s European session. 

The euro negative sentiment is exacerbated by recent disappointing data on Wednesday with lower inflation in the Eurozone and speculation of a dovish ECB next week.

Meanwhile, the greenback is on a tear, the US Dollar Index (DXY) spiked almost 0.60% on Friday,  jumping from the 89.90 level to 90.40, smashing through the 90.00 mark with strong momentum.

Underpinning the greenback strength are bond yields which continue their advance for the third consecutive day and are reaching multi-week highs. The US 10-year Treasury yield is spiking above March 21 high and currently at 2.94%. 

Meanwhile, safe-haven gold is down in the 1,3350 region while US stocks are also taking a breather from their recent advance and are currently down on the day as investors are buying the greenback.

EUR/USD 4-hour chart

The current momentum is bearish. Resistance is seen at 1.2300 swing low and 1.2400 swing high while support is seen at 1.2260 demand level, followed by 1.2215 cyclical low.  

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.