|

EUR/USD: Bears are set to retest the 1.0835 support – UOB Group

The Euro (EUR) is expected to trade sideways, probably in a range of 1.0835/1.0870. EUR is likely to trade with a downward bias; the 1.0815 level is expected to provide solid support, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

The support at 1.0835 is the current magnet

24-HOUR VIEW: “Last Friday, we noted that ‘the price movements are likely part of a sideways trading phase,’ and we expected EUR to trade between 1.0830 and 1.0870. In line with our expectations, EUR traded sideways, albeit in a narrower range of 1.0840/1.0868. The price action provides no fresh clues, and we continue to expect EUR to trade sideways, probably in a range of 1.0835/1.0870.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Our most recent narrative was from last Wednesday (24 Jul, spot at 1.0850), EUR ‘is likely to trade with a downward bias, but the 1.0815 level is expected to provide solid support.’ While EUR has not been able to make much headway on the downside, as long as 1.0890 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level from yesterday) is not breached, we will continue to hold the same view. Looking ahead, if EUR breaks clearly below 1.0815, the next level to watch is 1.0760.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits nine-week lows below 0.7000 on RBA Bullock's remarks

AUD/USD reverses a brief uptick and turns lower to hit nine-week lows below 0.7000 in the European morning on Tuesday, as traders digest cautious remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock during the press conference. Earlier on, the RBA raised the cash rate to 4.60%, as widely expected, leaving the door open to further rate hikes if needed.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting the pair.

Gold seems vulnerable near eight-week low amid Fed hike bets

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick, trading near its lowest level since August 4, around the $4,100 neighborhood, touched the previous day. Moreover, the bearish fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the precious metal remains to the downside.

Chainlink trims gains after CCIP 2.0 launch, Swift ledger integration

Chainlink (LINK) edges below $15.00 on Tuesday, trimming its 10% gains from the previous day, driven by the launch of its new Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol 2.0 and Swift ledger integration for tokenized deposits and 24/7 cross-border payments.

Focus turns to US job openings
In the euro area, focus turns to the September flash inflation print for Spain which will give the first indication of where the euro area data on Friday lands. We expect a modest rise in headline due to higher energy costs and a small increase in core inflation. We also receive the European Commission's business survey for September.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.