|

EUR/USD advances towards 1.0800 with the US CPI data on focus

  • The Euro trims losses as the US Dollar pulls back ahead of the US CPI release
  • US Inflation and the Fed decision will set the Dollar’s near-term direction.
  • EUR/USD’s immediate trend remains bearish while below 1.0815.


The Euro is moving with a moderately positive tone during the European morning trade, reaching intra-day highs near 1.0800 as the Dollar loses footing ahead of the release of US CPI figures.

US CPI and the Fed will set the Dollar’s direction

Later today, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to announce that US inflation edged down to 3.!% in the last twelve months to November and that the core CPI remained steady at 4%.

These figures will be analyzed with particular detail today, with all eyes on Wednesday’s Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision. Investors’ speculation about the timing for a Fed pivot is the main driver behind FX markets and, in that context, any surprise in the inflation trends might have a significant impact on US Dollar crosses.

EUR/USD Technical analysis

The pair’s corrective reversal from late November highs has found support on the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the October - November rally, at 1.0730.

The near-term bias remains negative with 1.0815, where previous highs meet the 4h 50 SMA, likely to offer a significant resistance. Above here, 1.0880 will come next.

Supports are at the mentioned 1.0730 and early November lows at 1.0660.

EUR/USD technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0787
Today Daily Change0.0022
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1.0765
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0874
Daily SMA501.071
Daily SMA1001.0761
Daily SMA2001.0823
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0779
Previous Daily Low1.0742
Previous Weekly High1.0895
Previous Weekly Low1.0724
Previous Monthly High1.1017
Previous Monthly Low1.0517
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0765
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0756
Daily Pivot Point S11.0745
Daily Pivot Point S21.0725
Daily Pivot Point S31.0707
Daily Pivot Point R11.0782
Daily Pivot Point R21.0799
Daily Pivot Point R31.0819

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold: Strong recovery might face roadblock as oil price extends gains

Gold price extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Wednesday, trading 1.5% higher to near $4,140 during the Asian session. The precious metal recovered strongly in the past few trading days from its three-week low of $3,959.80 as traders scaled back Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike expectations for the monetary policy meeting next week.

Bitcoin extends gains, Ethereum and XRP target breakout moves

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain on the front foot on Wednesday as the broader crypto market extends its gains so far this week. BTC leads gains after closing above key resistance while ETH and XRP near key technical hurdles where a breakout could pave the way for additional gains.

UK CPI set to show receding inflation in June as GBP/USD fails at May highs

The UK Office for National Statistics will release the June Consumer Price Index figures on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT, a print that will matter for markets. Consensus expectations point to inflation pressures still above the Bank of England’s target, although losing further momentum.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.