|

EUR/USD advances towards 1.0800 with the US CPI data on focus

  • The Euro trims losses as the US Dollar pulls back ahead of the US CPI release
  • US Inflation and the Fed decision will set the Dollar’s near-term direction.
  • EUR/USD’s immediate trend remains bearish while below 1.0815.


The Euro is moving with a moderately positive tone during the European morning trade, reaching intra-day highs near 1.0800 as the Dollar loses footing ahead of the release of US CPI figures.

US CPI and the Fed will set the Dollar’s direction

Later today, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to announce that US inflation edged down to 3.!% in the last twelve months to November and that the core CPI remained steady at 4%.

These figures will be analyzed with particular detail today, with all eyes on Wednesday’s Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision. Investors’ speculation about the timing for a Fed pivot is the main driver behind FX markets and, in that context, any surprise in the inflation trends might have a significant impact on US Dollar crosses.

EUR/USD Technical analysis

The pair’s corrective reversal from late November highs has found support on the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the October - November rally, at 1.0730.

The near-term bias remains negative with 1.0815, where previous highs meet the 4h 50 SMA, likely to offer a significant resistance. Above here, 1.0880 will come next.

Supports are at the mentioned 1.0730 and early November lows at 1.0660.

EUR/USD technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0787
Today Daily Change0.0022
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1.0765
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0874
Daily SMA501.071
Daily SMA1001.0761
Daily SMA2001.0823
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0779
Previous Daily Low1.0742
Previous Weekly High1.0895
Previous Weekly Low1.0724
Previous Monthly High1.1017
Previous Monthly Low1.0517
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0765
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0756
Daily Pivot Point S11.0745
Daily Pivot Point S21.0725
Daily Pivot Point S31.0707
Daily Pivot Point R11.0782
Daily Pivot Point R21.0799
Daily Pivot Point R31.0819

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.