|

EUR/USD: 1.0600/1.0610 looks like the last line of support before 1.0500 – ING

EUR/USD took its time, but ultimately the Fed's hawkish message resonated with the US yield curve and EUR/USD slumped back to the recent lows. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

Looking vulnerable

Until this late cycle Dollar strength breaks, EUR/USD remains vulnerable – especially since it does not enjoy any support from extreme undervaluation according to our medium-term fair value models. 

1.0600/1.0610 looks like the last line of support before 1.0500, which could be the direction of travel should the Bank of England (BoE) fail to hike today and GBP/USD break sharply lower. 

On the calendar today is the European Central Bank's Isabel Schnabel, who will surely market the risks of another ECB rate hike. However, Friday sees the release of flash European PMIs for September, another negative event risk for the Euro.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays weak above 0.6900 after China’s trade data

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s recovery and stays defensive on the 0.6900 level following the narrowing of trade surplus in China. Increased December Fed rate hike bets allows the US Dollar to pause its decline and weigh on the pair. US CPI data is next of note for the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 on weak Japanese data; focus shifts to US CPI

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Tuesday as a fall in Japan’s Household Spending offsets hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions, undermining the Japanese Yen. Moreover, Fed hike bets support the safe-haven US Dollar and the currency pair. The market focus now shifts to the release of the crucial US CPI report.

Gold sticks to modest losses amid Fed hike bets; holds above $4,100 ahead of US CPI

Gold meets fresh supply, eroding a part of the previous day's strong gains to the $4,150 resistance zone, albeit it holds above the $4,100 mark heading into the European session. Firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles to lure buyers amid mixed signals regarding the state of diplomatic talks between the US and Iran, offering some support to the commodity as traders seem hesitant ahead of US consumer inflation figures.

Bitcoin hits lowest weekly close since August as short-term holders slip into losses

Bitcoin fell below $75,000 on Tuesday, after recording its lowest weekly close since August as selling pressure pushed recent buyers into losses.

This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective

Payrolls on Friday surprised with a big gain, 165,000 new jobs rather than the 65,000 forecast. Also the unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1% although average hourly earnings are up only 0.4% ($32.75). This weeks’ two big inflation reports will offer perspective. Tomorrow it’s CPI and on Friday, which is a Friday the 13th, it’s PPI.

Gold reclaimed $4,100. Tuesday’s CPI test decides if it holds
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a positive note, reclaiming the $4,100 psychological level as the US Dollar (USD) retreats from its recent highs. The precious metal recovers from Friday's losses, although investors remain cautious ahead of Tuesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could determine the next direction for Bullion.