|

EUR recovers to low/mid 1.04s – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) has managed a fairly solid-looking short-term rebound from yesterday’s low near 1.04 on little news other than the broader mood-shift on the USD, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

ECB policymakers continue to debate the outlook for rates

"Spot gains are lagging most of the major currencies, however. ECB policymakers continue to debate the outlook for rates; Governor Schnabel commented yesterday that there should be a debate about a halt to rate cuts amid the uncertain inflation outlook. "

"But the rate doves appear to be in the majority and markets are more or less fully priced for a 25bps cut in early March. Solid, local equity returns vs US markets should provide a moderate backstop for the EUR amid current uncertainties."

"The EUR is trading a little higher after rebounding from the 1.04 area yesterday. The rebound in spot from yesterday’s low looks technically positive on the short-term chart but price action looks more like a consolidation than a major reversal at this point. Support is 1.0400 and 1.0375/80. Resistance is 1.0470."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).