|

EUR/NOK resumes the upside and revisits 10.2500

  • EUR/NOK bounces of the post-Norges Bank lows near 10.12.
  • The Norges Bank raised the key policy rate by 50 bps to 2.25%.
  • Further rate hikes will depend on how inflation evolves.

The Norwegian Krone gives aways part of the initial gains and now helps EUR/NOK resuming the upside to the area above 10.2000 on Thursday.

EUR/NOK up despite oil gains, dovish NB weighs on NOK

EUR/NOK manages to leave behind Wednesday’s daily decline and regains upside traction, as investors continue to adjust to the somewhat dovish tilt in the Norges Bank.

Indeed, the Scandinavian central bank raised the policy rate by half point to 2.25% at its meeting earlier on Thursday, although it linked the prospects for extra rate hikes to the progress of inflation.

In fact, the Norges Bank reiterated that inflation remains well above the bank’s target, although some signs of cooling in the economy could morph into some deceleration of inflationary pressures. The bank sees rates at around 3% over the winter.

EUR/NOK significant levels

As of writing the cross is gaining 0.48% at 10.2228 and the next resistance emerges at 10.3198 (monthly high September 20) followed by 10.5393 (2022 high June 16) and then 10.6323 (monthly high August 20 2021). On the downside, a drop below 10.1260 (weekly low September 22) would open the door to 9.9884 (200-day SMA) and finally 9.8313 (monthly low September 6).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).