|

EUR/NOK bounces off new 3-month lows near 10.0600

  • EUR/NOK extends the downside to the 10.0600 area.
  • The Norges Bank raised the policy rate to 0.25%, as expected.
  • The bank’s rate path notes another hike in December.

The Norwegian krone appreciates further vs. its European peer and drags EUR/NOK to new 3-month lows near 10.0600.

EUR/NOK weaker post-Norges Bank

EUR/NOK loses ground for the third consecutive session on Thursday, this time the catalyst for extra NOK buying was the Norges Bank.

Indeed, the Scandinavian central bank is the first G10 central bank to start tightening its monetary conditions after the pandemic. The updated rate path now sees another hike at the December meeting followed by three more hikes during 2022. Hence, the policy rate is seen at 1.75% by end-2024, closer the bank’s view of the neutral interest rate.

The move higher in NOK also derives support from higher NIBOR, which navigates in the area last seen back in January around 0.51%.

EUR/NOK significant levels

As of writing the cross is losing 0.34% at 10.0780 and faces the next resistance at 10.2422 (200-day SMA) followed by 10.2812 (weekly high Sep.20) and then 10.3223 (monthly high Sep.8). On the other hand, a breach of 10.0642 (monthly low Sep.23) would open the door to 10.0403 (monthly low Jun.8) and finally 9.9004 (2021 low Apr.29).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

Euro defends 1.1500 level ahead of US data

EUR/USD struggles to make a decisive move in either direction and trades in a tight channel above 1.1500 on Tuesday. Investors cling to a cautious stance amid the uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Middle East and help the USD stay resilient against its rivals, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the next batch of US data.

Aave: Bearish RSI divergence risks a 20% drop despite steady DeFi deposits

Aave (AAVE) extends a mild near-term recovery on Tuesday, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80. Aave protocol’s V3 deployment on Monad blockchain recorded over $500 million in deposits over the last month, reflecting increased user adoption.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.