|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA support near channel’s lower boundary at 161.50

  • The EUR/JPY cross may face initial resistance around the psychological level of 165.00.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, strengthening the bullish outlook.
  • Immediate support is seen at the nine-day EMA of 161.79, followed by the ascending channel’s lower boundary at 161.50.

EUR/JPY dips slightly after gaining in the previous session, hovering around 161.90 during Thursday’s Asian trading hours. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross is moving within an ascending channel, supporting a bullish outlook.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, reinforcing the bullish bias. The cross also stays above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), signaling strong short-term momentum and the potential for further gains.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross could encounter initial resistance near the "pullback resistance" around the psychological level of 165.00. Beyond this, the next key hurdle lies at 166.69—an eight-month high last reached in October 2024—aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.

The EUR/JPY cross may find initial support at the nine-day EMA of 161.79, followed by the ascending channel’s lower boundary at 161.50. A break below this critical support zone could weaken short-term momentum, potentially driving the cross toward the 50-day EMA at 160.49.

Further decline below the 50-day EMA could erode medium-term momentum, intensifying bearish pressure and dragging the cross toward its monthly low of 155.59, recorded on March 4, followed by 154.41, its lowest level since December 2023.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.25%-0.18%-0.27%0.00%-0.15%-0.11%-0.13%
EUR0.25% 0.04%-0.06%0.23%0.06%0.12%0.09%
GBP0.18%-0.04% -0.10%0.19%0.02%0.06%0.05%
JPY0.27%0.06%0.10% 0.27%0.10%0.14%0.15%
CAD-0.01%-0.23%-0.19%-0.27% -0.15%-0.11%-0.13%
AUD0.15%-0.06%-0.02%-0.10%0.15% 0.05%0.04%
NZD0.11%-0.12%-0.06%-0.14%0.11%-0.05% -0.01%
CHF0.13%-0.09%-0.05%-0.15%0.13%-0.04%0.01% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).


BRANDED CONTENT

Choosing a broker that aligns with your trading needs can significantly impact performance. Our list of the best regulated brokers highlights the best options for seamless and cost-effective trading.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.