|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA support near channel’s lower boundary at 161.50

  • The EUR/JPY cross may face initial resistance around the psychological level of 165.00.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, strengthening the bullish outlook.
  • Immediate support is seen at the nine-day EMA of 161.79, followed by the ascending channel’s lower boundary at 161.50.

EUR/JPY dips slightly after gaining in the previous session, hovering around 161.90 during Thursday’s Asian trading hours. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross is moving within an ascending channel, supporting a bullish outlook.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, reinforcing the bullish bias. The cross also stays above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), signaling strong short-term momentum and the potential for further gains.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross could encounter initial resistance near the "pullback resistance" around the psychological level of 165.00. Beyond this, the next key hurdle lies at 166.69—an eight-month high last reached in October 2024—aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.

The EUR/JPY cross may find initial support at the nine-day EMA of 161.79, followed by the ascending channel’s lower boundary at 161.50. A break below this critical support zone could weaken short-term momentum, potentially driving the cross toward the 50-day EMA at 160.49.

Further decline below the 50-day EMA could erode medium-term momentum, intensifying bearish pressure and dragging the cross toward its monthly low of 155.59, recorded on March 4, followed by 154.41, its lowest level since December 2023.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.25%-0.18%-0.27%0.00%-0.15%-0.11%-0.13%
EUR0.25% 0.04%-0.06%0.23%0.06%0.12%0.09%
GBP0.18%-0.04% -0.10%0.19%0.02%0.06%0.05%
JPY0.27%0.06%0.10% 0.27%0.10%0.14%0.15%
CAD-0.01%-0.23%-0.19%-0.27% -0.15%-0.11%-0.13%
AUD0.15%-0.06%-0.02%-0.10%0.15% 0.05%0.04%
NZD0.11%-0.12%-0.06%-0.14%0.11%-0.05% -0.01%
CHF0.13%-0.09%-0.05%-0.15%0.13%-0.04%0.01% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).


BRANDED CONTENT

Choosing a broker that aligns with your trading needs can significantly impact performance. Our list of the best regulated brokers highlights the best options for seamless and cost-effective trading.

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces the next support around 1.1600

EUR/USD comes under pressure and retreats for the fourth day in a row on Tuesday, coming closer to the key 1.1600 neighbourhood amid a decent rebound in the US Dollar ahead of the largely expected 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

GBP/USD extends mean reversion as investors brace for Fed

GBP/USD eased back toward the midrange on Tuesday, shedding around one-fifth of one percent after facing an intraday technical rejection from the 1.3350 level. Price action has slumped back into the 1.3300 handle and is holding just north of the long-term 200-day Exponential Moving Average near 1.3250 as markets hunker down for the last Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision of 2025.

Gold defends $4,200 in Asia as traders gear up for the Fed

Gold price bounces off $4,200 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal finds fresh demand as traders seek safety ahead of the Fed verdict, with a 25 bps rate cut fully priced in. However, a hawkish stance on future monetary policy outlook cannot be ruled out. 

Ethereum: Whales accumulate ETH ahead of Fed meeting

Ethereum is up 6% on Tuesday following increased whale buying activity and President Donald Trump's remarks concerning the next Federal Reserve Chair.

Global economic outlook 2026: Financial system risk, trade, public debt

The global and European economies have been resilient in recent years even accounting for the modest global slowdown of 2025. But risks for the recovery are rising, underscoring a negative medium-run global macro and credit outlook.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure amid mixed technical signals 

Bitcoin is trading above $90,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday amid sticky risk-off sentiment in the broader crypto market. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are paring losses, holding above key support levels.