|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: The next downside target is located at 161.10

  • EUR/JPY trades in negative territory for the fourth consecutive day around 161.85 in Friday’s early European session. 
  • The cross keeps the bearish vibe unchanged below the key EMA; RSI momentum indicator supports the downside. 
  • The immediate resistance level is seen at 162.30; 161.10 acts as an initial support level. 

The EUR/JPY cross remains under some selling pressure below the 162.00 psychological barrier during the early European session on Friday. The growing speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could remove negative interest rates this month lifts the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the Euro (EUR). At press time, EUR/JPY is trading at 161.85, down 0.16% on the day. 

From a technical perspective, EUR/JPY maintains a bearish outlook as the cross holds below the 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the four-hour chart. The downward momentum is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which lies below the 50-midline, indicating the path of least resistance is to the downside.

The immediate resistance level for EUR/JPY is seen at the 100-period EMA around 162.30. The key hurdle will emerge at the 162.95-163.00 region, representing a high of March 6 and a psychological round figure. Further north, the next upside barrier is located at a high of March 4 at 163.50 and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 163.71. 

On the downside, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 161.10 acts as an initial support level for the cross. The additional downside filter to watch is a low of March 7 at 160.55, followed by a psychological round mark at 160.00. 

EUR/JPY four-hour chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price161.82
Today Daily Change-0.28
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open162.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.32
Daily SMA50160.49
Daily SMA100160.02
Daily SMA200158.28
 
Levels
Previous Daily High162.85
Previous Daily Low160.56
Previous Weekly High163.72
Previous Weekly Low161.68
Previous Monthly High163.72
Previous Monthly Low158.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%161.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.97
Daily Pivot Point S1160.82
Daily Pivot Point S2159.54
Daily Pivot Point S3158.53
Daily Pivot Point R1163.12
Daily Pivot Point R2164.13
Daily Pivot Point R3165.41

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold hits fresh three-month low below $4,000 amid surging energy prices

Gold slides to a fresh three-month low at $3,986.74 in the Asian trade on Friday. The precious metal faces intense selling pressure, following a consolidation breakdown that took place on the range between $4,227.90 and $4,066.64 in the past three weeks.


Cardano: Whale selling deepens correction
Cardano (ADA) edges higher by nearly 2% on Friday, following a roughly 6% decline the previous day. The pullback aligns with the sell-side appeal among large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, and Cardano derivatives. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, with downside momentum persisting. Whales are losing their appetite for holding ADA tokens, fueling near-term selling pressure.
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.