|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: The immediate upside barrier is seen near 157.70

  • EUR/JPY loses traction around 156.60, backed by the positive economic outlook from the Japanese government.
  • The cross maintains the bearish vibe as it holds below the key EMA; RSI indicator stands in bearish territory below 50.
  • The immediate resistance level is seen at 157.71; the initial support level is located at 155.38.

The EUR/JPY cross extends its downside near 156.60 during the early European session on Thursday. That being said, the upward revision of economic growth estimates by the Japanese government lifts the Japanese Yen (JPY) and creates a headwind for the EUR/JPY cross.

From the technical perspective, EUR/JPY keeps the bearish potential intact as the cross holds below the key 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the four-hour chart. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands in bearish territory below 50, indicating further downside looks favorable.

Any follow-through buying above the 100-hour EMA at 157.71 will see a rally to a high of December 19 at 158.60. The next upside barrier is seen near the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 158.75, en route to a high of December 5 at 159.72.

On the flip side, the initial support level for EUR/JPY is located near a low of December 19 at 155.38. The key contention level will emerge near the lower limit of the Bollinger Band and a psychological level at the 155.00–155.05 zone. A breach of this level will see a drop to a low of December 15 at 154.40. The additional downside filter to watch is a low of December 14 at 153.85.

EUR/JPY four-hour chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price156.6
Today Daily Change-0.54
Today Daily Change %-0.34
Today daily open157.14
 
Trends
Daily SMA20158.74
Daily SMA50159.68
Daily SMA100158.76
Daily SMA200154.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High158.13
Previous Daily Low156.79
Previous Weekly High157.69
Previous Weekly Low153.85
Previous Monthly High164.31
Previous Monthly Low159.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%157.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%157.62
Daily Pivot Point S1156.58
Daily Pivot Point S2156.01
Daily Pivot Point S3155.24
Daily Pivot Point R1157.92
Daily Pivot Point R2158.69
Daily Pivot Point R3159.26





 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.