|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Surges past 163.00 and hits new YTD high

  • EUR/JPY climbs, leveraged by JPY's broad decline on Japan's cooling economy and inflation forecasts.
  • Technical momentum suggests a test of the 164.00 level, with potential resistance at November's peak.
  • Initial support at 163.00, with further downside targets including Tenkan-Sen and Senkou Span A levels.

The EUR/JPY advances sharply and regains the 163.00 figure as traders capitalize on the broad Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness. The latest fundamental news from Japan is that its economy is cooling, while inflation is expected to get below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2% goal on its core figures. At the time of writing, the pair exchanged hands at 163.55, up 0.42%.

From a technical perspective, EUR/JPY rose to a new year-to-date (YTD) high at 163.72, though the exchange rate retreated somewhat amid fears that Japanese authorities might intervene in the Forex markets. Given the backdrop, the uptrend remains intact, and the pair could challenge the 164.00 figure in the near term. A breach of that level would expose the November 16 high at 164.31, followed by the 165.00 mark.

On the flip side, the EUR/JPY first support would be the 163.00 figure. If sellers push the spot price below Monday’s low of 162.56, look for a deeper pullback past the Tenkan-Sen at 162.31 as bears eye the Senkou Span A at 161.61 before the Kijun-Sen at 160.90.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY TECHNICALS

Overview
Today last price163.52
Today Daily Change0.64
Today Daily Change %0.39
Today daily open162.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA20160.89
Daily SMA50159.43
Daily SMA100159.57
Daily SMA200157.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High163.21
Previous Daily Low162.68
Previous Weekly High163.47
Previous Weekly Low161.48
Previous Monthly High161.87
Previous Monthly Low155.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%162.89
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%163.01
Daily Pivot Point S1162.64
Daily Pivot Point S2162.4
Daily Pivot Point S3162.11
Daily Pivot Point R1163.16
Daily Pivot Point R2163.45
Daily Pivot Point R3163.69

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.