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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls need running out of steam, capped by the 20-day SMA

  • EUR/JPY advanced near 158.00, setting a consecutive day of gains.
  • Bullish momentum is fading, and indicators signal further downside.
  • Bulls are struggling to gain the 20-day SMA.

On Monday, the EUR/JPY cross slightly advanced, near the 157.80 zone. Still, the pair could see further consolidation if the bull fails to reclaim the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 158.00.

In line with that, indicators on the daily chart exhibit signs of bullish exhaustion, contributing to a neutral to bearish technical perspective. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite seeing a positive slope above its midline, displays a clear downward trend since mid-August, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) shows neutral red bars. Additionally, the pair is below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but above the 100 and 200-day SMAs, indicating that the bulls still have the upper hand when looking at the broader picture. However, the pair got rejected by the 20-day SMA at 158.00 during September, which contributed to the pair losing momentum and left the door open for further downside.

 Support levels: 157.00, 155.00, 154.60 (100-day SMA)

 Resistance levels: 158.00 (20-day SMA), 158.50, 159.00.

 EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price157.8
Today Daily Change0.22
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open157.58
 
Trends
Daily SMA20158.11
Daily SMA50157.22
Daily SMA100154.49
Daily SMA200148.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High157.9
Previous Daily Low156.72
Previous Weekly High158.66
Previous Weekly Low156.58
Previous Monthly High159.76
Previous Monthly Low155.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%157.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%157.17
Daily Pivot Point S1156.9
Daily Pivot Point S2156.22
Daily Pivot Point S3155.73
Daily Pivot Point R1158.08
Daily Pivot Point R2158.58
Daily Pivot Point R3159.26

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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