EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bears are in charge but losing steam at around 158.30s

EUR/JPY down for eighth day but holds above Ichimoku Cloud; Yen weakness cushions potential bearish momentum.
ECB's Isabel Schnabel welcomes inflation data, signaling potential rate cuts ahead, diverging from the US Federal Reserve's stance.
Key levels: For bearish momentum, watch for breach of 158.38, targeting Kumo bottom at 157.61; upside potential with 159.00 psychological figure.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The EUR/JPY slides for the eighth straight day, though it remains above the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which could be seen as the downtrend, is losing steam amidst overall Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness across the board on Wednesday. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY is trading at 158.68 after hitting a daily high of 159.12.

The fundamental bias changed since yesterday’s words from the European Central Bank (ECB) member Isabel Schnabel, which welcomed inflation data, suggesting that November’s CPI was “a very pleasant surprise.” Since then, rate cuts for the ECB augmented, with market participants seeing the ECB slashing rates before the US Federal Reserve.

Hence, the EUR/JPY daily chart has shown some Euro’s (EUR) weakness, but so far the pair has failed to gain traction amid a soft Yen. Nevertheless, the pair clashed with the top of the Kumo at around 158.38 and stabilized at around 158.70.

For a bearish resumption, bears must reclaim 158.38, so they could drag the spot price towards the bottom of the Kumo at 157.61. A breach of the latter will expose a five-month-old upslope support trendline around 157.13. further downside is seen below that level, at the October 3 low of 154.34.

On the flip side, if buyers hold prices above the top of the Kumo, they could remain hopeful of higher prices. The first resistance would be the 159.00 psychological figure, followed by the December 5 high at 159.72.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price	158.73
Today Daily Change	-0.18
Today Daily Change %	-0.11
Today daily open	158.91

Trends
Daily SMA20	162.09
Daily SMA50	159.85
Daily SMA100	158.71
Daily SMA200	153.83

Levels
Previous Daily High	159.72
Previous Daily Low	158.58
Previous Weekly High	163.72
Previous Weekly Low	159.65
Previous Monthly High	164.31
Previous Monthly Low	159.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	159.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	159.28
Daily Pivot Point S1	158.42
Daily Pivot Point S2	157.92
Daily Pivot Point S3	157.27
Daily Pivot Point R1	159.56
Daily Pivot Point R2	160.21
Daily Pivot Point R3	160.7

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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