|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: A rising wedge in the daily chart looms and targets 132.00

  • Despite retreating from weekly highs, the EUR/JPY is gaining 0.92% in the week,
  • A negative market sentiment keeps safe-haven peers in the FX space buoyant.
  • EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rising wedge in the daily chart might lead the pair to tumble towards 132.00 unless EUR/JPY bulls reclaim 137.00.

The EUR/JPY edges lower after reaching fresh weekly highs at around 136.79 and daily lows just below the 50-DMA at 135.64, blamed on a dampened market sentiment that increased appetite for safe-haven peers. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY cross-currency pair is trading at 136.16.

Dismal sentiment keeps the euro on the defensive

Risk aversion continued for the second consecutive day in the week. Global equities are trading lower on expectations that the US Federal Reserve will not achieve a soft landing as it tightens monetary conditions, aiming to tackle high inflation around quadruple its target. Furthermore, China’s coronavirus crisis, which spurred factory halts in April, particularly in Shanghai, clouds the economic outlook.

Elsewhere, the EUR/JPY pair opened near the daily high and tumbled as sentiment turned sour, aiming towards the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) at 135.95, breaking on its way south, support levels like the daily pivot point at 136.05. However, the cross-currency is back above the central daily pivot point, though down in the day by some 0.37%.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY daily chart depicts the pair as upward biased. However, the cross advances steadily and will face a solid supply area around the 137.00 mark, which EUR/JPY bulls have been unable to conquer.

It’s worth noting that a rising wedge is forming, which, once broken, might open the door for further losses. That said, the EUR/JPY’s first support would be the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 135.64. A breach of the latter would open the door for a re-test of the rising wedge bottom trendline, around 134.80-135.10. Once cleared, the following demand zone would be the rising wedge target at 132.00, followed by the 200-DMA at 131.24.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price136.16
Today Daily Change-0.59
Today Daily Change %-0.43
Today daily open136.74
 
Trends
Daily SMA20136.15
Daily SMA50135.55
Daily SMA100132.65
Daily SMA200131.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High136.8
Previous Daily Low134.66
Previous Weekly High136.7
Previous Weekly Low133.75
Previous Monthly High140
Previous Monthly Low134.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%135.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%135.48
Daily Pivot Point S1135.34
Daily Pivot Point S2133.93
Daily Pivot Point S3133.19
Daily Pivot Point R1137.48
Daily Pivot Point R2138.21
Daily Pivot Point R3139.62

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).