|

EUR/JPY extends German data-led recovery from multi-month lows

The EUR/JPY cross staged a modest recovery bounce post German data and reversed majority of its daily losses to sub-117.00 level, near 5-month lows touched during early European session on Tuesday. 

Currently trading around 117.30-40 band, the release of better-than-expected German ZEW survey for April provided a temporary respite for the shared currency. Spot gained some traction after German ZEW Economic Sentiment index surpassed expectations and jumped to the highest level since August 2015, coming-in at 19.5 for April. 

Moreover, the Japanese Yen's safe-haven demand was also seen fading amid receding risk-aversion trade, as depicted by a tepid recovery from lows for the European equity markets, and further collaborated to the pair's recovery from the lowest level since Nov. 18.

It, however, remains to be seen if the recovery is backed by some genuine buying interest or is merely a short-covering bounce from near-term oversold conditions, in absence of any negative surprise from Euro-zone data.

Technical levels to watch

Any further recovery beyond 117.55 level (session high) is likely to confront strong hurdle near 117.70 region (200-day SMA), above which an additional bout of short-covering could lift the pair towards 118.40-50 strong horizontal resistance.

On the downside, weakness back below the 117.00 handle now seems to accelerate the slide towards 116.60 intermediate support before the cross eventually heads towards testing 116.00 round figure mark.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.