EUR/JPY breaks above 130.00, hits fresh monthly highs

Euro up versus the yen for the fifth time out of the last six trading days.
EUR/JPY breaks above 130.00 and rises above the 100-day SMA.

Matías Salord FXStreet

The EUR/JPY is rising sharply on Monday supported by the improvement in risk sentiment and the stability in US yields. The cross reached levels above 130.00 for the first time since mid-November.

More above 130.00?

The cross climbed to 130.09 and it remains firm above 130.00 as the rally from 127.50 (Dec 20 low) continues. The euro is now above the 100-day simple moving average and testing the 55-day SMA. A daily close clearly above 130.00 should sign more gains head. The next strong resistance stands at 130.75.

A decline back under 129.75 would alleviate the bullish pressure suggesting the euro is not ready yet for a run above 130.00.

Santa’s rally

The SP500 is up 0.90%, trading at record highs while the Nasdaq climbs 1.06%. At the same time crude oil gains 2.70%. The risk appetite across financial markets is helping the demand, favoring crosses like EUR/JPY.

Another key driver on Monday is the rally in USD/JPY. The pair is approaching 115.00. US yields remain mostly flat on Monday, weakening the yen that is also under pressure on the back of the risk sentiment.

Technical levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price	130.01
Today Daily Change	0.54
Today Daily Change %	0.42
Today daily open	129.47

Trends
Daily SMA20	128.39
Daily SMA50	129.96
Daily SMA100	129.77
Daily SMA200	130.5

Levels
Previous Daily High	129.76
Previous Daily Low	129.28
Previous Weekly High	129.76
Previous Weekly Low	127.52
Previous Monthly High	132.56
Previous Monthly Low	127.49
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	129.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	129.57
Daily Pivot Point S1	129.24
Daily Pivot Point S2	129.02
Daily Pivot Point S3	128.76
Daily Pivot Point R1	129.73
Daily Pivot Point R2	129.98
Daily Pivot Point R3	130.21

Author

Matías Salord

FXStreet

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week

Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.

CFTC Report: Defensive currency positioning takes hold

The week in one sentence: Sterling and Euro shorts deepened in the week to September 22, while Yen longs were cut sharply. Oil positioning improved despite a steep price decline, and Gold exposure remained crowded. The main signal was a more defensive currency positioning backdrop.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.