EUR/GBP tumbles to half-month low as Pound Sterling recovers

The EUR/GBP is backsliding into 0.8660 as Pound Sterling sees a Friday rebound.
EU Retail Sales, UK GDP on the back half of next week's economic calendar.
GBP the big winner for Friday.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The EUR/GBP is skidding towards 0.8660 as the market heads into the closing bell for the week, and the Pound Sterling (GBP) recovery from recent months-long lows is taking the EUR/GBP down into bids not seen in almost three weeks.

The Euro (EUR) traded mostly flat against the Pound Sterling in a rough range this week before a broad-market sentiment recovery on the back of a missed US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report sparked risk appetite for investors heading into the eleventh hour.

GBP set for a repeat volatility surge next Friday, UK GDP in the pipe

The back half of next week sees top-tier data for both the EU and the UK, with EU Retail Sales on Wednesday and UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures on the docket for next Friday.

EU Retail Sales are currently expected to decline further for the year into September, forecast at -3.1% compared to the previous -2.1%, while UK GDP is expected to soften for the 3rd quarter, forecast to print at -0.1% compared to the previous quarter's 0.2%.

EUR/GBP Technical Outlook

The EUR/GBP's Friday softening sees the pair tumbling directly towards 0.8660, running into a rising trendline from mid-August's low just beneath 0.8500.

The pair has slipped away from long-term median prices, declining from the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) which is currently drifting lower from the 0.8700 handle.

Near-term technical support for the EUR/GBP sits at the 50-day SMA leaning bullish from the 0.8640 level, and investors will want to keep an eye out for any wobbling in the pair's bids as prices battle it out for a clean break of the bullish trendline.

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Technical Levels

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price	0.8668
Today Daily Change	-0.0036
Today Daily Change %	-0.41
Today daily open	0.8704

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.8683
Daily SMA50	0.8644
Daily SMA100	0.8613
Daily SMA200	0.8693

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.8736
Previous Daily Low	0.8689
Previous Weekly High	0.8734
Previous Weekly Low	0.8683
Previous Monthly High	0.8754
Previous Monthly Low	0.8616
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.8718
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.8707
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.8684
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.8663
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.8637
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.873
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.8756
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.8777

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is. Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).