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EUR/GBP trades with modest intraday gains, lacks follow-through beyond mid-0.8500s

  • EUR/GBP regained some positive traction on Friday and recovered a part of the overnight losses.
  • Reduced BoE rate hike bets undermined the British pound and provided a modest lift to the cross.
  • A stronger USD weighed on the shared currency and held back bulls from placing aggressive bets.

The EUR/GBP cross traded with a mild positive bias through the first half of the European session, albeit seemed struggling to capitalize on the move beyond mid-0.8500s.

The cross attracted some buying on Friday and reversed a part of the previous day's sharp corrective slide from the vicinity of the 0.8600 mark, or over a two-month high. The British pound's relative underperformance comes amid diminishing odds for an imminent interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE).

Against the backdrop of persistent Brexit-related uncertainties, the imposition of fresh COVID-19 restrictions in the UK could force the BoE to delay its decision to hike interest rates. This, along with mostly disappointing UK macro releases undermined the sterling and provided a modest lift to the EUR/GBP cross.

The UK Office for National Statistics reported that the economic growth decelerated to 0.1% in October from a 0.6% rise reported in the previous month, missing expectations for a reading of 0.4%. Adding to this, the total industrial output dropped 0.6% in October as against a 0.1% increase anticipated and undermined the sterling.

Separately, the headline German CPI matched original estimates and fell 0.2% in November. The yearly rate stood at 5.2%, though did little to impress the euro bulls. The prevalent US dollar bullish sentiment exerted some pressure on the shared currency and kept a lid on any meaningful gains for the EUR/GBP cross.

This comes on the back of this week's rejection near a descending trend-line resistance extending from April swing high and warrants some caution for aggressive bullish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through buying before positioning for the resumption of a two-week-old upward trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8546
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open0.8543
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8473
Daily SMA500.8484
Daily SMA1000.8516
Daily SMA2000.856
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.86
Previous Daily Low0.854
Previous Weekly High0.8551
Previous Weekly Low0.8446
Previous Monthly High0.8595
Previous Monthly Low0.8381
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8563
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8577
Daily Pivot Point S10.8523
Daily Pivot Point S20.8502
Daily Pivot Point S30.8464
Daily Pivot Point R10.8582
Daily Pivot Point R20.862
Daily Pivot Point R30.8641

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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