|

EUR/GBP seen around 0.83 in 12-month – Danske Bank

In view of Analysts at Danske Bank, the European cross is expected to drop to the 0.83 region within a year’s view.

Key Quotes

“GBP has been in the hands of the Brexit-deal driven UK cabinet turmoil lately. For GBP, the rising risk of both a soft Brexit (GBP positive) and a ‘no-deal’ Brexit (GBP negative)”.

“We still expect the Bank of England to hike the Bank rate by 25bp to 0.75% in August. This is not fully priced in the market yet (put at 75% probability), so we expect relative interest rates to drive EUR/GBP slightly lower to 0.87 in 1M (previously 0.88)”.

“Longer term, we still expect EUR/GBP eventually to trade lower driven by Brexit clarifications and fundamental valuations. We continue to target EUR/GBP at 0.8650 in 3M, 0.84 in 6M and 0.83 in 12M.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD seems fragile below 1.1700 as Middle East war boosts energy prices

The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1680 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but broadly seems vulnerable, being close to its five-week low. The major currency pair is under pressure as surging oil prices due to the United States-Israel war with Iran have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 with bearish pressure intact

GBP/USD edges higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold sticks to gains above $5,350 amid sustained safe-haven demand; firmer USD caps gains

Gold sticks to its positive bias for the third straight day and trades above the $5,350 level heading into the European session on Tuesday. Concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.

Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.