|

EUR/GBP recovers from Monday dip, but still on the low side below 0.8680

  • The EUR/GBP is struggling to hold its head above water as the Euro slips back.
  • The ECB is holding steady on their policy stance, but warning that inflation may tick higher.
  • An appearance by BoE Governor Bailey, EU HICP inflation on the docket later in the week.

The EUR/GBP saw another downside push on Monday, testing below 0.8660 before seeing a moderate rebound that sees the Euro (EUR) struggling to recover 0.8680 against the Pound Sterling (GBP).

The European Central Bank (ECB) is ramping up their market rhetoric in the run-up into Thursday's Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation figures. Eurozone inflation is expected to tick slightly lower from 2.9% to 2.7% for the annualized period into November, but ECB President Christine Lagarde warned early Monday that the Eurozone could see slightly higher inflation figures in the coming months.

ECB’s Lagarde: Headline inflation may rise again slightly in the coming months

Wednesday will see another public outing by Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey, who will be delivering prepared remarks at an event celebrating the 50th anniversary of the London Foreign Exchange Joint Standing Committee. A question period is not expected, but the Governor's presence will still see investors keeping an eye out for comments from the BoE head regarding policy as it pertains to the FX markets.

EUR/GBP Technical Outlook

The Euro has been capped off by the 50-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) against the Pound Sterling since backsliding from a near-term high of 0.8765 last week, and despite multiple bullish attempts at breaking the shortfall, the EUR/GBP is down a full percentage point from last week's peak.

With the EUR/GBP slipping back, the pair is currently challenging the 200-day SMA, while the 50-day SMA is in the process of confirming a bullish crossover of the longer moving average, and 0.8680 could prove to be a technical ceiling if selling pressure continues unabated.

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Technical Levels

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8675
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open0.8679
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8713
Daily SMA500.8687
Daily SMA1000.8636
Daily SMA2000.8681
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8707
Previous Daily Low0.8672
Previous Weekly High0.8765
Previous Weekly Low0.8672
Previous Monthly High0.8754
Previous Monthly Low0.8616
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8685
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8694
Daily Pivot Point S10.8664
Daily Pivot Point S20.865
Daily Pivot Point S30.8629
Daily Pivot Point R10.87
Daily Pivot Point R20.8721
Daily Pivot Point R30.8736

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1750 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).