|

EUR/GBP pushing towards 0.8700 after Tuesday powerlift ahead of Wednesday's UK & EU CPI double feature

  • The EUR/GBP bounded into 0.8680 after EU data beats climbed over UK earnings miss.
  • EU sentiment came in above expectations, while UK wages failed to meet the market median forecast.
  • EUR/GBP traders will be looking ahead to Wednesday's joint CPI inflation reading for both the EU and the UK.

The EUR/GBP climbed around 0.4% on Tuesday in one of the pair's single-best trading days since early September, rising from the opening bids near 0.8648 to close out around 0.8682, and setting a high for the day at 0.8690.

With only inches to go from the 0.8700 handle, the Euro (EUR) finds itself heading into Wednesday's double-feature of UK and EU inflation figures.

UK Average Earnings missed the mark on Tuesday, with wages including bonuses for the quarter into August growing by 8.1% against the forecast 8.3% and coming in below the previous reading of 8.5%.

On the EU side, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey for October showed an unexpected rebound in economic confidence, with the index printing a firm 2.3 compared to the forecast -8 and previous reading of -8.9.

Wednesday sees UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation numbers, with the headline annualized inflation reading expected to tick down from 6.7% to 6.5% for September.

On the EU side, EU CPI inflation is broadly expecting to hold steady, with the Core CPI reading for September to show flat at 0.2% for the month.

The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is also expected to make an appearance, and investors will be keeping an eye out for any statements about the ECB's forecasts on possible interest rate moves.

EUR/GBP Technical Outlook

Despite Tuesday's bumper green bar for the day, the EUR/GBP remains trapped within familiar price action, with September's swing high into the 0.8700 handle seeing constraining technical resistance from a slowly descending 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

On the downside the 50-day SMA is seeing some lift into the 0.8620, keeping bids trapped in the middle, and the last swing low into 0.8620 will be the level to beat for EUR/GBP sellers in the near-term.

EUR/GBP Daily Chart

EUR/GBP Technical Levels

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8682
Today Daily Change0.0038
Today Daily Change %0.44
Today daily open0.8644
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8655
Daily SMA500.861
Daily SMA1000.8598
Daily SMA2000.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8672
Previous Daily Low0.8641
Previous Weekly High0.8665
Previous Weekly Low0.8616
Previous Monthly High0.8706
Previous Monthly Low0.8524
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8653
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.866
Daily Pivot Point S10.8632
Daily Pivot Point S20.8621
Daily Pivot Point S30.8602
Daily Pivot Point R10.8663
Daily Pivot Point R20.8683
Daily Pivot Point R30.8694

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY drops to an over one-month low, around 156.00 after Japan's CPI report

USD/JPY attracts heavy follow-through selling on Friday, dropping to the 156.00 neighborhood, a one-month low, as Japan's National CPI report reaffirms bets for an imminent BoJ rate hike and boosts the Japanese Yen. Moreover, the recent steep fall in US bond yields counters hawkish Fed expectations and geopolitical risks, undermining the US Dollar and exerting additional pressure on the currency pair.

Gold seems vulnerable near August lows; eyes $4,000 break amid Fed hike bets

Gold touches a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday, eyeing the key $4,000 psychological mark. Oil-driven inflation fears reinforce December Fed hike bets and continue to undermine the non-yielding bullion, which fails to benefit from the recent steep fall in US bond yields and the prevailing US Dollar selling bias. Moreover, the overnight breakdown below a trading-range support backs the case for further depreciation.



Bitcoin falls 4% as chip stocks plunge 6.7% and oil surges
Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $82,000 on Thursday as the crypto market joined a broader market sell-off driven by concerns over artificial intelligence (AI) spending, rising oil prices and escalating geopolitical tensions involving the US and Iran. The top crypto fell 4% to $81,130 as macro fears weighed on prices across the digital asset market.
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.