|

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Upside attempts are limited below 0.8700

  • Euro recovery attempts have been capped at 0.8700, and the pair retreated to 0.8685 again.
  • The Euro remains on the defensive amid France's political crisis.
  • EUR/GBP has a key support in the 0.8660-0.8670 area.

The Euro has given away previous gains and is trading practically flat on the daily chart against the British Pound. The pair consolidates Monday’s losses near 0.8685 after its recovery attempt from Monday’s lows, at 0.8675, was rejected in the 0.8700 area.

The Euro remains on the defensive, with all eyes in France, where the unexpected resignation of Prime Minister Lecorny has boosted concerns about the country’s fragile fiscal stability, and rating agencies have warned of further downgrades.

On the other hand, the Pound is not faring better. Data released last week showed a significant slowdown in services activity, and  a survey by the Bank of England released on Tuesday, which reported that hiring plans from British businesses have declined to their weakest levels since 2020

Technical analysis: Looking for direction above the 0.8660 support area

EUR/GBP Chart

The technical picture shows the pair trading within a broadening wedge, with momentum indicators highlighting a bearish trend. This pattern is often seen near major tops and suggests a negative outcome.

Bears, however, are likely to struggle to extend beyond the 0.8860-0.8670 area, where the confluence of the wedge top with a longer-term trendline support and September 17 lows is expected to provide significant support. Further down, the September 11 and 15 lows, at 0.8630, and the August 20 and 27 lows, at 0.8605, will come into focus.

To the upside, immediate resistance is at the intra-day high of 0.8700, which is closing the path towards the wedge top, at 0.8725, and the October 2 and 3 lows in the 0.8730 area.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.44%0.38%0.32%0.11%0.38%0.60%0.28%
EUR-0.44%-0.05%-0.09%-0.32%-0.03%0.16%-0.03%
GBP-0.38%0.05%-0.06%-0.28%0.06%0.17%0.02%
JPY-0.32%0.09%0.06%-0.20%0.10%0.19%-0.06%
CAD-0.11%0.32%0.28%0.20%0.26%0.45%0.29%
AUD-0.38%0.03%-0.06%-0.10%-0.26%0.05%-0.04%
NZD-0.60%-0.16%-0.17%-0.19%-0.45%-0.05%-0.24%
CHF-0.28%0.03%-0.02%0.06%-0.29%0.04%0.24%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.