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EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Sellers stepped in around 0.8780s, eyeing a break below 0.8700

  • EUR/GBP dropped after failing to break above the 0.8787 area.
  • The EUR/GBP daily chart remains upward biased, but a negative divergence is looming, having risks skewed to the downside.
  • In the short term, the EUR/GBP is already downward biased and could break below the 0.8700 mark.

The EUR/GBP dropped from daily highs after hitting a YTD high on Monday at 0.8787. Still, renewed fears of tensions arising between Ukraine and Russia weighed on the shared currency, which is trading below its opening price by 0.41% on Wednesday. At the time of writing, the EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8719.

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/GBP daily chart illustrates the cross-currency pair that, albeit tumbling from around YTD highs, the pair encountered support above the June 15 daily high at 0.8721. During the day, the EUR/GBP dived towards its daily low at 0.8711, but bids lifted the pair towards current exchange rates. EUR/GBP traders should be aware that a negative divergence is forming, with the EUR/GBP price action registering higher highs, contrary to the RSI, which printed lower lows.

Therefore, in the near term, traders could expect a correction before resuming the uptrend.

Short term, the EUR/GBP is downward biased, as depicted by the 4-hour chart. The negative divergence in this time frame sent the cross sliding below the 20-EMA, but the 50-EMA at 0.8711, was a difficult support level to hurdle. Nevertheless, with the RSI getting into negative territory and further weakness expected by the euro, a fall below the 0.8700 mark is likely.

Therefore, the EUR/GBP first support would be the 50-EMA at 0.8711, which, once cleared, could send the pair sliding towards the S1 pivot at 0.8696. A breach of the latter will expose the 100-EMA at 0.8672, followed by the last week’s low at 0.8625.

EUR/GBP Key Technical Levels

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8719
Today Daily Change-0.0041
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open0.8764
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8634
Daily SMA500.852
Daily SMA1000.853
Daily SMA2000.8453
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8783
Previous Daily Low0.8724
Previous Weekly High0.8784
Previous Weekly Low0.8626
Previous Monthly High0.8653
Previous Monthly Low0.834
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8747
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8761
Daily Pivot Point S10.8731
Daily Pivot Point S20.8699
Daily Pivot Point S30.8673
Daily Pivot Point R10.879
Daily Pivot Point R20.8816
Daily Pivot Point R30.8848

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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