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EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Grinds lower around 0.8450 on unimpressive UK GDP

  • EUR/GBP renews intraday high, before ticking lower, while staying inside a trend widening chart pattern.
  • UK Q2 GDP shrank 0.1% QoQ versus -0.2% expected, monthly statistics came out softer on MoM, firmer on YoY.
  • Double top around 0.8470 tests bulls, bears need validation from 200-HMA.

EUR/GBP remains pressured around 0.8460-55 area after an initial wick to 0.8447 on the UK’s firmer-than-expected growth numbers. However, the actual figures are way low under the previous readings and hence keep buyers hopeful despite the initial pullback.

That said, the headline UK Q2 GDP flashed -0.1% QoQ figures versus -0.2% forecast and 0.8% previous readings, per the first estimations from the UK’s National Statistics. Additionally details suggest that the monthly GDP contracted 0.6% MoM versus -1.3% expected and 0.5% prior. Further, the Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production readings marked upbeat YoY figures while reporting the softer monthly data, which are better than forecast disappointed.

Also read: GBP/USD seesaws 30-pip around 1.2200 on better-than-expected Q2 UK GDP

It should be noted that the trend widening megaphone formation restricts the EUR/GBP moves between 0.8480 and 0.8420.

However, the latest bearish signals from the MACD hint at the quote’s weakness towards the support. Also acting as the downside filter is the 200-HMA level of 0.8415.

Meanwhile, the double tops around 0.8470 guard immediate recovery moves of the EUR/GBP ahead of the 0.8480 hurdle comprising the stated megaphone’s upper line.

In a case where the quote rises past 0.8480, the odds of witnessing the 0.8500 threshold on the chart can’t be ruled out.

EUR/GBP: Hourly chart

Trend: Gradual upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.8455
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.04%
Today daily open0.8458
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8443
Daily SMA500.8511
Daily SMA1000.8471
Daily SMA2000.8441
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.847
Previous Daily Low0.8421
Previous Weekly High0.8453
Previous Weekly Low0.834
Previous Monthly High0.8679
Previous Monthly Low0.8346
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8451
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.844
Daily Pivot Point S10.8429
Daily Pivot Point S20.84
Daily Pivot Point S30.838
Daily Pivot Point R10.8478
Daily Pivot Point R20.8499
Daily Pivot Point R30.8528

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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