|

EUR/GBP post modest gains in the week, up almost 1%, eyes 0.8600

  • EUR/GBP rises 0.22% on weak UK economic data.
  • UK’s retail sales data drop 2.5% vs 0.4% expected.
  • The short-term trend is up, however stronger UK economic data, supports the British pound.

The EUR/GBP rises for the second day in a row, modestly gain 0.22%, trades around 0.8580. For the second week in a row, recovers some lost ground against the pound.

In the dockets for the Eurozone, the German PPI on the monthly basis came at 1.9% versus an 0.8% foreseen, In regards to the UK, consumer confidence and retail sales were released. The UK’s GfK Consumer confidence dropped to -8 from -7 expected, nevertheless remained around pre-pandemic levels. In regards to retail sales for the month of July,  the report disappointed, with a drop of 2.5% in the last month, against the market’s expected 0.4% growth. 

For the next week on Monday, PMI figures are released for the UK, French, Germany, and the Eurozone.

EUR/GBP technical outlook

The EUR/GBP trades around 0.8576 in between the 100 and the 50-daily moving averages, while the 200-DMA stands at 0.8710. In the short term, the pair is in an uptrend. Strong resistance lies at the confluence of the 100-DMA and a psychological round level at 0.8600, whereas the July 20 high at 0.8669 is the second resistance, followed by 0.8700.  On the other hand, the first support is the 50-DMA at 0.8550, followed by the 0.8500 and then this year low at 0.8450.

RSI is at 60.61, supporting the bullish trend while the Average True Range is 36 flattish.
EURGBP Chart

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).