|

EUR/GBP loses ground below 0.8500, investors await BoE’s Ramsden speech

  • EUR/GBP edges lower to around 0.8490 in Tuesday’s early European session. 
  • ECB’s Rehn said the central bank may cut interest rates below the neutral level that keeps the economy in balance.
  • UK Retail Sales rose in March, testing bets of a BoE rate cut in May. 

The EUR/GBP cross extends its downside to near 0.8490 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) softens against the Pound Sterling (GBP) due to the dovish remarks from the European Central Bank (ECB). Traders brace for the speech by Bank of England (BoE) official Dave Ramsden later on Tuesday.

Earlier this month, the ECB cut the interest rates for the seventh time in a year, warning that US tariffs would negatively impact economic growth. This strengthens the case for additional rate reductions in the coming months and puts the EUR bulls on the defensive. ECB policymaker Olli Rehn said on Monday that the central bank may cut interest rates below the neutral level that keeps the economy in balance.

Traders are now pricing around a 75% odds of a June rate cut, up from roughly 60% before the ECB's decision, according to LSEG data. Nonetheless, given that the decision was still more than a month away and economic policy had become unpredictable since Donald Trump's April 2 announcement.

On the GBP’s front, UK Retail Sales rose in March, failing to challenge expectations of a Bank of England (BoE) rate cut in May amid growing economic uncertainty tied to tariffs. The UK Retail Sales increased 0.4% MoM in March versus a rise of 0.7% prior. This figure came in above the market consensus of a decline of 0.4%.

On an annual basis, Retail Sales jumped 2.6% in March compared to a rise of 2.2% prior, better than the estimation of 1.8%. Traders await the BoE’s Dave Ramsden speech later on Tuesday. Any dovish comments from BoE policymakers could undermine the GBP and limit the downside for the cross. 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with three-day lows near 1.1570

EUR/USD resumes its march south on Thursday, revisting the 1.1570 region, or three-day lows, ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The intense sell-off in the pair comes in response to the solid performance of the US Dollar amid the still unresolved crisis in the Middle East. Moving forward, investors are expected to shift their focus to the release of the US NFP on Friday.
 

GBP/USD stays offered near 1.3340

GBP/USD fades Wednesday’s uptick and trades with decent losses in the 1.3340 zone in the latter part of Thursday’s session. Cable’s weakness, alongside the rest of the risk complex, follows the strong performance of the Greenback amid intense geopolitical jitters.

Gold: further weakness could challenge $5,000

Gold comes under fresh selling pressure on Thursday, slipping back below the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Persistent strength in the US Dollar (USD) is preventing the yellow metal from building a meaningful recovery, even as markets remain risk-averse amid the deepening conflict in the Middle East.

NYSE parent Intercontinental Exchange partners with OKX, invests at a $25B valuation

OKX announced an investment from Intercontinental Exchange, raising its valuation to $25 billion, alongside a partnership to expand regulated crypto futures and tokenized equity offerings globally.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.