|

EUR/GBP jumps to one-and-half-week high, around mid-0.8500s on hawkish ECB policymakers

  • EUR/GBP gained strong traction for the second straight day and jumped to over a one-week high.
  • The shared currency continued drawing support from hawkish comments by the ECB policymakers.
  • Brexit woes, softer UK PMIs weighed on the British pound and further provided a lift to the cross.

The EUR/GBP cross built on the overnight solid rebound from the 0.8435-0.8430 zone, or the 200-day SMA and gained strong follow-through traction for the second straight day on Tuesday. The momentum extended through the early part of the European session and pushed spot prices to over a one-week high, around mid-0.8500s in the last hour.

The shared currency's relative outperformance comes on the back of the overnight hawkish comments by the European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, hinting at a probable rate hike in July. In a blog post, Lagarde said that the ECB was likely to lift the euro area deposit rate out of the negative territory by the end of September. She added that the central bank could raise interest rates further if it saw inflation stabilizing at 2%.

Adding to this, ECB Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau said that the central bank is in the process of normalising policy and that rate hikes in July and September are likely a done deal.  This, to a larger extent, helped offset mostly lower-than-expected Eurozone PMI prints for the month of May. Furthermore, the emergence of fresh selling around the US dollar remained supportive of the strong bid tone surrounding the euro.

On the other hand, the British pound was undermined by the UK-EU impasse over the Northern Ireland protocol. In fact, the British government last week announced legislation that would effectively override parts of a Brexit deal, fueling fears about a trade war in the middle of the cost-of-living crisis. This, along with the disappointing release of the flash UK PMIs, weighed on sterling and provided an additional lift to the EUR/GBP cross.

The fundamental backdrop now seems tilted in favour of bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains. Hence, a subsequent move back towards reclaiming the 0.8600 mark, en-route the YTD peak around the 0.8615-0.8620 region, remains a distinct possibility.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8521
Today Daily Change0.0028
Today Daily Change %0.33
Today daily open0.8493
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8478
Daily SMA500.8406
Daily SMA1000.8382
Daily SMA2000.8445
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8504
Previous Daily Low0.8433
Previous Weekly High0.8534
Previous Weekly Low0.8393
Previous Monthly High0.8467
Previous Monthly Low0.825
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8477
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.846
Daily Pivot Point S10.8449
Daily Pivot Point S20.8406
Daily Pivot Point S30.8378
Daily Pivot Point R10.852
Daily Pivot Point R20.8547
Daily Pivot Point R30.8591

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1750 as USD benefits from risk-aversion

EUR/USD comes under renewed bearish pressure in the European session and trades below 1.1750 following a recovery attempt earlier in the day. The US Dollar gathers strength and weighs on the pair as investors seek refuge in the wake of Israel and the United States' joint attack on Iran.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold surges on safe-haven demand, rises above $5,400

Gold benefits from intense risk-aversion on Monday and climbs above $5,400, setting a fresh monthly-high in the process. Tensions in the Middle East remain high as Israel and Hezbollah continue to exchange strikes following the US-Israel joint attack on Iran over the weekend.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple under pressure as key supports face breakdown risk

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices trade on the back foot at the start of this week on Monday, after extending losses in the previous week. BTC is on the brink of a breakdown, ETH is capped below key resistance, and XRP risks a crack of the trendline.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network  hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.