|

EUR/GBP: eyes a break to 0.86 the figure on extended downside

  • EUR/GBP: breaking the weekly 100 SMA, eyes on 0.8620's.
  • EUR/GBP:  BoE sentiment dominates as main theme, eyes on BoE hike.

EUR/GBP has slid down to test the 100 weekly SMA, losing the 0.87 handle. Currently, EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8661, down -0.71% on the day, having posted a daily high at 0.8730 and low at 0.8643.

EUR/GBP suffered on the EZ IP dropping by 0.8% mm in Feb compared to 0.1% expected, ("Jan data was revised to slightly “less worse ” (-0.6% M/M) than the preliminary data but the data still reflect a fairly sluggish start to the year for the Eurozone economy). For the UK, Davies came with some upbeat Brexit comments fueling the pounds bid forcing the cross to the lowest levels since June 2017.  

Brexit back in play

Davis said there was no precedent for the kind of customs deal the UK seeks with the EU (suggesting reaching a deal might not be that easy). "Davis also downplayed the notion of financial sector job losses following Brexit shortly before GS head Blankfein said his institution will concentrate more on Frankfurt and Paris. Davis’ comments appear to have helped lift the pound," as noted by analysts at Scotiabank.

EUR/GBP levels

EUR/GBP is headed towards 0.8600 on the extensions below recent support. The daily RSI hovers over bearish territory, moving deeper towards 30 and the cross remains underwater below a key rising support line on the daily sticks located a cent higher at 0.8820. However, the price action is turning bullish in the daily descent. However, a close below 0.8667 would open eyes towards the 78.6% retracement at 0.8527 (move up from the 2017 low). Bulls need to get above 0.8800.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.