|

EUR/GBP: Bears now face major fundamental and technical hurdles

  • EUR/GBP has started out the week just below the pivot at 0.8855 and ahead of the 61.8% in the 0.8830s, (55-D SMA and 200-D SMA converge in the same area).
  • The Brexit deal was endorsed by EU leaders at the weekend summit with the focus now turning to whether the UK Parliament will approve it.
  • EUR/GBP was recently rejected by the end of October highs at 0.8940 and made a recent low of Brexit optimism as progress had been made towards a deal.

The spike in sterling last week followed the news that a twenty-six-page political declaration which sketched out the future relationship between the EU and Britain for decades to come had been put together which coupled with the the draft terms of the UK's exit from the EU on 29 March 2019 in a five hundred and eighty-five-page divorce treaty being agreed, paths the way for PM May to take both the UK Parliament for approval; However, this is likely where PM May will face her toughest challenge. 

PM May now faces at least 91 Conservative MPs are against the Agreement

PM May has already delivered a letter to the nation saying that the agreement delivers Brexit, gives the UK back control over its borders, safeguards the rights of citizens, cuts payments to the EU and sets a bright and secure future for the UK. However, the Sunday Telegraph has reported that 91 Conservative MPs are against the Agreement and such a number voting against it will make it impossible for the deal to pass at the moment and that is where, fundamentally, the cross will struggle to break a strong area of technical confluence. 

EUR/GBP levels

On the downside, on a break below the 61.8% fibo and 200-D SMA opens the next key support zone which sits between the July low at 0.8799 and the November 12 high at 0.8774. This area guards October's key support level at 0.8723. Meanwhile,  0.8940 opens the July peak at 0.8960. The early August and September highs are located at 0.9031/54. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.