According to Ned Rumpeltin - European Head of FX Strategy at TD Securities (TDS), a significant shift is underway in G10 FX markets and after several months of grinding higher against other major currencies, we think the USD is shifting to a weaker footing.

Key Quotes:

“The EUR may not be a leader in this process, but its size and importance mean it will be an essential component of a weaker USD trend. Our initial focus has been on recent shifts in monetary policy expectations. This is not the whole story, however. We see other forces at work that should help push EURUSD higher in the months ahead.”

“Specifically, the euro area’s underlying capital flows situation continues to improve. Importantly, net portfolio flows are becoming less of a drag on the currency as the ECB has halted its asset purchases. Global investors remain net sellers of the region’s debt markets but this has eased significantly since the start of the year.”

“Sluggish growth, fragile sentiment, and tepid inflation pressures all remain significant near-term headwinds for the EUR. Once these subside, however, we think the tide is starting to come in for the common currency.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD surges above 1.1100 as Trump announces steps against China

EUR/USD is trading above 1.1100, up on the day. President Trump said he orders companies to search Chinese imports for drugs. Earlier he criticized Powell's lack of action. 


GBP/USD jumps above 1.2250 on USD weakness

GBP/USD is trading close to the monthly highs above 1.2250 as the US dollar falls following Powell's hint of cutting rates and Trump's angry response. 


USD/JPY plummets to ten-day lows below 106 as Trump goes berserk on Twitter

The USD/JPY came under strong selling pressure in the last hour and erased nearly 100 pips as US President Donald Trump's latest rant on Twitter forced investors to seek refuge and ramped up the demand for safe-haven JPY. 


Gold gains more than $30, eyes 2019 highs on Trump’s tweet

Gold continues to rise sharply amid concerns about the impact of the escalation in the US-China trade war. The demand for safe-haven assets emerged over the last hours, leading to a rally in the yellow metal. 

Gold News

Powell powerless against Trump's trade wars – US braces for recession, USD set to move

"The most powerful central banker in the world" – is how we and others characterize Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While that may be true – monetary policy is reaching its limits – especially in the face of a trade war.

Read more