EUR: ECB reinforcing hawkish tone – ING

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

This week’s moves are almost entirely driven by US-related events. The only Euro input comes from scheduled ECB speeches, which so far have reinforced the less dovish tone set by President Christine Lagarde last week, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

EUR/USD’s direction today is set by the US Dollar for now

"Croatia’s central bank chief, Boris Vucic, confirmed the new consensus on the ECB yesterday, saying the bank is in a 'very good position' and should wait for 'another projection' – meaning September – before making its next move. Markets are pricing in 15bp for September, 17bp for October, and 30bp for December."

"From an FX angle, the impact isn’t huge. EUR/USD surged last week on the ECB’s hawkish shift, but short-term rate differentials aren’t driving G10 FX beyond central bank events. As noted, EUR/USD’s direction today will be mostly set by the dollar, with some support likely near 1.1400 and a possible push above 1.1500 by the week’s end."

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FXStreet Insights Team

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EUR/USD remains offered, challenges the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD adds to the current leg lower and comes just pips away from its significant 200-day SMA around 1.1580 as the NA session draws to a close on Thursday. The deeper drop comes in response to the intense advance in the Greenback, this time propped up by firm US data and higher US Treasury yields.

GBP/USD drops to four-week lows near 1.3360

Moving in step with other risk-sensitive peers, GBP/USD is attracting heavier selling and has slipped below the key 1.3400 support on Thursday to hit fresh four-week troughs. Cable’s decline reflects a firmer US Dollar as investors keep evaluating the latest batch of US data.

Gold remains offered just above $4,600

Gold is giving back part of its recent strong run, managing to bounce off earlier lows and reclaim the area beyond the $4,600 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The pullback comes as the Greenback regains traction, Treasury yields move higher, and some profit-taking kicks in.