|

EUR/CHF turns negative and retreats from tops near 1.0000 post-SNB

  • EUR/CHF abandons the area of 3-week highs near 1.0000.
  • The SNB hiked rates by 50 bps, matching consensus.
  • The SNB leaves the door open to extra hikes in the near future.

The Swiss franc regains traction and drags EUR/CHF to the 0.9930 region in the wake of the SNB interest rate decision on Thursday.

EUR/CHF: Gains look limited near 1.0000

EUR/CHF comes under pressure and retreats from earlier 3-week highs in levels just shy of the parity following the 50 bps rate hike by the SNB at its meeting on Thursday.

The central bank revised up its inflation projections and now sees consumer prices rising 2.6% this year and 2.0% in 2024 vs. previous forecasts at 2.4% and 1.8%, respectively.

Regarding the GDP, the SNB suggests the economic growth is likely to remain modest for the remainder of the year and the economy is seen expanding 1.0% in 2023 (vs. the December forecast at 0.5%).

The SNB also hinted at the view that inflation could return yo more moderate levels over the medium term in response to the current monetary policy stance and the slower pace of the economic activity.

EUR/CHF significant levels

As of writing the cross is losing 0.02% at 0.9950 and the breach of 0.9836 (200-day SMA) would expose 0.9705 (2023 low March 15) and then 0.9643 (weekly low October 12 2022). On the flip side, the next resistance appears at 0.997 (weekly high March 23) seconded by 1.0041 (monthly high March 2) and finally 1.0097 (2023 high January 13).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).