|

EUR/CHF turns negative and retreats from tops near 1.0000 post-SNB

  • EUR/CHF abandons the area of 3-week highs near 1.0000.
  • The SNB hiked rates by 50 bps, matching consensus.
  • The SNB leaves the door open to extra hikes in the near future.

The Swiss franc regains traction and drags EUR/CHF to the 0.9930 region in the wake of the SNB interest rate decision on Thursday.

EUR/CHF: Gains look limited near 1.0000

EUR/CHF comes under pressure and retreats from earlier 3-week highs in levels just shy of the parity following the 50 bps rate hike by the SNB at its meeting on Thursday.

The central bank revised up its inflation projections and now sees consumer prices rising 2.6% this year and 2.0% in 2024 vs. previous forecasts at 2.4% and 1.8%, respectively.

Regarding the GDP, the SNB suggests the economic growth is likely to remain modest for the remainder of the year and the economy is seen expanding 1.0% in 2023 (vs. the December forecast at 0.5%).

The SNB also hinted at the view that inflation could return yo more moderate levels over the medium term in response to the current monetary policy stance and the slower pace of the economic activity.

EUR/CHF significant levels

As of writing the cross is losing 0.02% at 0.9950 and the breach of 0.9836 (200-day SMA) would expose 0.9705 (2023 low March 15) and then 0.9643 (weekly low October 12 2022). On the flip side, the next resistance appears at 0.997 (weekly high March 23) seconded by 1.0041 (monthly high March 2) and finally 1.0097 (2023 high January 13).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3400 near 50-day EMA

GBP/USD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.3420 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 53 has eased from near overbought, indicating that momentum has cooled while remaining above the midline. RSI holds above 50, keeping a modest bullish bias.

Gold on fire at the start of the week on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold regains upside traction early Monday as flight to safety prevails on Venezuela turmoil. The US Dollar finds strong haven demand, caps Gold’s upside as focus shifts to US jobs data. Gold’s daily technical setup suggests that more upside remains in the offing.

Bulls firmly in control as Bitcoin breaks $93K, Ethereum and Ripple extend gains

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple extended their rallies on Monday, gaining more than 4%, 6%, and 12%, respectively, in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could continue to outperform, with bulls in control of the momentum.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).