|

Equities sliding in response to the Trump administration's planned tariffs - Westpac

Analysts at Westpac explained that the sharply negative response to the Trump administration's planned tariffs extended in European and US trade, with equities sliding. 

Key Quotes:

"The Trump administration’s list of $200bn of Chinese goods imports potentially subject to 10% tariffs sparked a souring of risk appetite early Wednesday Sydney and there was no relief in Europe or US trade. Equities fell across the board, oil prices slumped and growth-sensitive currencies such as AUD were weakest."

"Notably, the Chinese yuan was Asia’s softest currency, -0.7% for the onshore yuan and -1.1% for CNH which extended losses after spot CNY had closed. CNH is on track for its largest daily fall since August 2015. This will of course generate discussion about China using a weaker currency as one tool of retaliation against the US. Chinese officials on Wednesday pledged retaliation if the US proceeded with the threatened tariffs, but did not specify what China might do."

"The US dollar rose against a wide range of currencies. EUR/USD fell from 1.1750 to 1.1675. Somewhat surprisingly, USD/JPY rose from 111.00 to 112.17 – the highest since January – with the yen not seeing the usual safe haven demand."

"AUD and NZD demonstrated they are typically the most sensitive G10 currencies to global trade news. AUD was weakest in the G10. It had been around 0.7475 when the US tariff list was released 24 hours ago, falling to 0.7410 late Sydney trade Wednesday and extending losses to 0.7365 by early Thursday trade Sydney. NZD/USD similarly fell from 0.6820 to 0.6760. AUD/NZD rebounded off 1.0870 to 1.0900."

"The Bank of Canada raised its benchmark rate 25bp to 1.5%, as widely expected; the Bank cited global trade tensions as the key risk but remain upbeat on domestic conditions and signaled more gradual hikes. On tariffs, the statement said that, “Although there will be difficult adjustments for some industries and their workers, the effect of these measures on Canadian growth and inflation is expected to be modest.” Another rate increase is 2/3 priced in by the 24 October meeting. USD/CAD dropped from 1.3140 to 1.3065 on the move but a few hours later joined the wave of USD buying, rising above 1.3200, up 0.7% on the day."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold holds above $5,000 as bears seem hesitant amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold edges lower at the start of a new week, though it defends the $5,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. The underlying bullish sentiment is seen acting as a headwind for the bullion. However, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed, bolstered by Friday's softer US CPI, keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and continue to support the non-yielding yellow metal as the focus now shifts to FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

The US jobs report for January, which was delayed slightly, didn’t do the dovish Fed bets any favours, as expectations of a soft print did not materialize, confounding the raft of weak job indicators seen in the prior week.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.