|

Elliott Wave analysis: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DAX 40, FTSE 100 and ASX200 [Video]

Summary

The upward trend in indices remains intact, with the bullish case now outweighing the bear market rally scenario. European markets like the DAX and FTSE present clearer Elliott Wave counts compared to the SP500 and Nasdaq, which still allow for multiple interpretations. To gain clarity, we must look to individual stocks for wave count confirmation. While a bullish Elliott Wave count isn't fully confirmed, more stocks are increasingly aligning with bullish structures. This is why I have added more long trades for US stocks.

Elliott Wave analysis overview

  • SP500 (SPX): Est. wave 5 of (1)
  • NASDAQ 100 (NDX): Wave 5 of (1)
  • DAX 40 (DAX): Wave 5 of (1)
  • FTSE 100 UKX (UK100): Wave 5 of (1)
  • S&P/ASX 200 (XJO): Wave 5 of (1)

Key financial events to watch

Thursday, May 1, 2025:

United States: ISM Manufacturing PMI (April)
Earnings: Apple, Amazon, McDonald's, Airbnb, Eli Lilly, Amgen
United Kingdom: S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (April)
Germany: HCOB Manufacturing PMI (April)
Australia: Ai Group Manufacturing Index (April)

Video chapters:

  • 00:00 SP 500 (SPX), SPY, ES Futures
  • 15:53 NASDAQ 100 (NDX) QQQ, NQ Futures
  • 21:20 DAX 40 (DAX)
  • 23:30 FTSE 100 UKX (UK100)
  • 27:11 S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) AP1! (SPI Futures)

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).