Copper Price: Explosion to the upside is unsustainable, retracement lower is coming – Commerzbank

Copper (LME) is accelerating in an exponential manner towards the February and August 2011 highs at 9905.00/10190.00 but this ascent isn’t sustainable, according to Axel Rudolph, Senior FICC Technical Analyst at Commerzbank, who expects the metal to see a retracement lower soon.

Key quotes

“Copper has shot up to levels last seen in August 2011 but it is short-term overextended with the daily RSI trading at extreme levels not seen since 2006. Just like back then we expect to see some kind of retracement lower, probably this or next week, for the contract to give back some of its recent sharp gains.” 

“While the contract remains above the January trough at 7705.00, we will retain our medium and longer-term bullish view with the February and August 2011 highs at 9905.00/10190.00 being targeted.” 

“Minor support in the short-term is seen at the 8437.00 mid-February high and at the 8238.00 January high. Further support comes along the 55-day moving average and the five-month support line at 8021.74/7958.41.”


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

GBP/USD holds above 1.4050 after upbeat UK job figures

GBP/USD is trading above 1.4050, near the fresh 35-month highs as US yields retreat from the highs and push the dollar lower. UK wages rose by 4.7% in December and January's jobless claims fell by 20,000, both better than expected. 


DOGE in trouble as multiple technical indicators scream sell

Dogecoin price hints at a 75% upswing as the bull flag pattern develops. A decisive close above $0.058 would indicate a start of a bullish breakout. Mounting selling pressure could invalidate crucial support at $0.047 and push it down by 20% to $0.037.

Read more

EUR/USD under pressure ahead of Powell's testimony

EUR/USD trades at fresh daily lows sub-1.2150, with investors turning cautious ahead of the Fed Chairman Powell's appearance before Congress. US Treasury yields under mild pressure, equities struggling to turn green.


XAU/USD remains confined in a range above 200-hour SMA

A combination of diverging forces failed to provide any meaningful impetus to gold on Tuesday. Acceptance above 200-hour SMA/23.6% Fibo. confluence supports prospects for additional gains. Mixed oscillators warrant some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move.

Gold news

US Dollar Index: Formidable support is located at 90.00

DXY tests and rebound from the key 90.00 neighbourhood. Further south of this level comes in the 2021 lows at 89.20.

US Dollar Index News