|

Coles Group Limited – COL analysis and Elliott Wave technical forecast [Video]

COL Elliott Wave technical analysis

Market update

Our Elliott Wave analysis on COLES GROUP LIMITED (ASX: COL) shows renewed upside potential. The primary uptrend, labeled wave 3‑grey, remains extended. In the short term, its internal correction, wave ii‑navy, is approaching completion as a zigzag formation. Once wave ii‑navy ends, wave iii‑navy could resume the main trend and push higher.

One-hour chart (semilog scale) analysis

  • Function: Major trend (Intermediate degree, Orange).

  • Mode: Motive.

  • Structure: Impulse.

  • Position: Wave ii‑navy of Wave 3‑grey.

  • Details:

    • Since the 18.33 low, Wave 3‑grey is expanding and subdividing into i‑navy – ii‑navy – iii‑navy.

    • Wave ii‑navy is nearing its zigzag end (a‑b‑c orange), likely targeting ~21.10–20.31.

    • After completion, watch for wave iii‑navy to unfold upward.

  • Invalidation point: 18.33.

Chart

COL Elliott Wave technical Analysis – Four‑hour chart

  • Function: Major trend (Intermediate degree, Orange).
  • Mode: Motive.
  • Structure: Impulse.
  • Position: Wave v‑grey of Wave c‑orange of Wave ii‑navy.
  • Details:
    • Wave ii‑navy continues to aim for ~21.10–20.31.
    • Following that, wave iii‑navy could resume, targeting the next milestone at ~$30.00.
    • A push above 21.240 confirms early wave iii‑navy structure.
  • Invalidation point: 18.33.

  • Key reference: 21.240.

Chart

Conclusion

Our analysis offers a comprehensive short-term and contextual outlook for COLES GROUP LIMITED (COL). We identify clear price levels—both validation and invalidation points—to sharpen confidence in our wave count and trend projections. These insights aim to empower readers with an objective, professional view on ASX market dynamics.

Coles Group Limited – COL analysis and Elliott Wave technical forecast [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high, trades below $4,400

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).