CHF: Sub-0.93 is rare for EUR/CHF – ING

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

EUR/CHF is trading at sub-0.93, which is quite rare. Some may argue that it should be trading higher given some slightly better news out of French politics, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

EUR/CHF to hang around this 0.92/93 area for now

"However, it is probably the eurozone macro story which is playing out here. Hard eurozone data has been coming in on the soft side in recent months. This has seen a re-pricing of short-dated EUR swap rates, off around 10bp since their late September highs."

"Swiss rates are priced with a 'zero bound constraint' in mind. Even though the Swiss National Bank does not rule it out, it clearly does not want to take rates negative again. This is firming up the view that the SNB's hands are tied and leaves EUR/CHF offered."

"We expect EUR/CHF to hang around this 0.92/93 area until there is some positive reappraisal of eurozone growth prospects, which may not happen until next year."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Will US CPI inflation revive the uptrend?

Gold is hanging close to one-week lows near $4,310 early Friday, nursing heavy losses after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data release and the recent upsurge in Oil prices. Gold is looking to recover a part of the previous heavy losses as traders resort to repositioning ahead of the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report.

Bitcoin slips below $77,000 – Raydium, Falcon Finance hold gains

Bitcoin price trades below $77,000 on Friday, extending its capitulation from the previous week’s high at $82,300. Broader market consensus points to a higher likelihood that the US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at the September meeting, as inflation concerns rise amid the war with Iran.

Dollar comeback case 'a decent one' – September Fed hike 'back in play'

The dollar was left nursing heavy losses against most of its major peers after last month’s Treasury buyback wobble. Notwithstanding this, we think that the case for a near-term bounce in the greenback is a decent one. Warsh's hawkish pivot at Jackson Hole, followed by what was a blowout US payrolls report for August, has put a September rate hike from the Fed back in play.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight

The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.