CAD steady ahead of BoC SDG Rogers’ speech – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading flat against the US Dollar (USD) and extending its recent consolidation around a cluster of key technical levels, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note.

Spreads and sentiment are neutral

"Near-term risk lies with the outlook for relative central bank policy as market participants focus on BoC Senior Deputy Governor Rogers’ speech at 8:15am ET. Yield spreads are steady, and offering little in terms of direction while the options market remains neutral with risk reversals holding close to flat."

"Our FV estimate for USD/CAD is currently at 1.3744, suggesting a significant undervaluation for the CAD at the moment. USD/CAD’s latest consolidation is notable, with congestion centered around the 61.8% retracement level of the September 2024/February 2025 rally at 1.3944."

"Resistance has been observed at the 200 day MA (1.3978), just below the psychologically important 1.40 level. Weakness below 1.3900 would likely target the 50 day MA at 1.3835. We look to a near-term range bound between 1.3920 and 1.3980."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold keeps the bid tone in place; still below $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains just below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices and fresh selling pressure on the US Dollar.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital

If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.