|

CAD steadies, remains heavily undervalued – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is all but unchanged in quiet trade. Steadier stocks and some retracement in market volatility (the VIX has nudged under 20) offer some reprieve for the CAD alongside the general drift in the US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Charts turn constructive

"Recent trends reflect the fact that external influences are the primary driver of short-term CAD movement, absent clearer signals from the economy. BoC Senior DG Rogers repeated her call for action to boost domestic productivity in remarks yesterday."

"Recent USD gains still leave spot trading well above our estimate of its estimated equilibrium (little changed at 1.3783) as factors that typically drive the CAD steady or improve modestly. The USD remains around two standard deviations above our fair value estimate. Short-term price signals suggest that USDCAD may have reached a minor (at least) peak yesterday at 1.4080 (now resistance)."

"The intraday chart reflects a bearish outside range signal developing around the early, intraday peak yesterday. The daily chart reflects a bearish “shooting star” candle forming over the course of the entire session. Trend strength remains firmly in the USD’s favour but the USD does look technically overbought on the daily chart. Initial USD support sits at 1.3970/75 and 1.3930."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.