Early on Friday, the Australia and New Zealand Bank’s (ANZ) Brian Martin said that Brexit deal faces significant parliamentary skepticism. Global markets keenly await the United Kingdom’s (UK) special parliamentary session on Saturday after the UK Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson managed to get a deal, while also solving Irish backstop problem, from the European Union.
Key quotes
“The EU and UK have reached agreement on replacing the Irish backstop, but the deal now faces intense parliamentary debate.”
“The deal delivers Brexit and allows the UK to negotiate free trade agreements. UK politics is never easy, however, and the agreement is not without costs. Will Scotland now want similar arrangements to Northern Ireland?”
“Many MPs welcome a deal but feel its implications need to be put to the public in a referendum. The DUP, which has supported the government, says that under no circumstances will it support the deal.”
“The government needs 320 votes to pass the agreement. Johnson’s Conservative Party has 287 MPs.”
“The European Research Group, the hard Brexiteers of the Conservatives, has around 35 MPs. Some may not support Johnson, given the DUP’s position.”
“Johnson expelled 21 Conservative MPs from the parliamentary party in September, because they did not support a no-deal Brexit. They are not showing a sudden willingness to rush to his aide, although some probably will.”
“Up to 20 Labour ‘leave’ MPs could support the bill, but that won’t cover the gap. Early calculations from various political analysts suggest the government is short a handful of votes.”
“The outcome will be very close. Interestingly, the former leader of the Liberal Democrats has urged the LDP to support the deal with a referendum.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD retreats to 1.0750, eyes on Fedspeak
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades at around 1.0750 on Wednesday. Hawkish comments from Fed officials help the US Dollar stay resilient and don't allow the pair to stage a rebound.
GBP/USD remains on the defensive around 1.2500 ahead of BoE
The constructive tone in the Greenback maintains the risk complex under pressure on Wednesday, motivating GBP/USD to add to Tuesday's losses and gyrate around the 1.2500 zone prior to the upcoming BoE's interest rate decision.
Gold flirts with $2,320 as USD demand losses steam
Gold struggles to make a decisive move in either direction and moves sideways in a narrow channel above $2,300. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield clings to modest gains near 4.5% and limits XAU/USD's upside.
SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit sees redacted filing go public, XRP dips to $0.51
Ripple (XRP) dipped to $0.51 low on Wednesday, erasing its gains from earlier this week. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing is now public, in its redacted version.
Softer growth, cooler inflation and rate cuts remain on the horizon
Economic growth in the US appears to be in solid shape. Although real GDP growth came in well below consensus expectations, the headline miss was mostly the result of larger-than-anticipated drags from trade and inventories.