|

Brent oil: Bounce stalled near $66.60 on surging US supply and global economic slowdown

  • Brent's bounce from recent lows below $64.50 seems to have run out of steam near $66.60. 
  • The upside is likely being capped by fears of a global economic slowdown. 

Brent oil is struggling to rise above $66.60 for the third straight day, possibly due to rising US oil supplies and global economic slowdown. 

Prices had dropped 3.2 percent on Feb. 25, confirming a short-term bearish reversal. The bearish move, however, lacked follow-through - black gold picked up a bid at 12-day lows below $64.50 on Feb. 26. 

While the bounce saved the day for the bulls, the relief could be short-lived, as the upside is being restricted near $66.60 on fears the global economic slowdown would weaken demand-side pressures. 

A Reuters poll showed this week that analysts expect global fuel demand to stutter this year amid a broad economic slowdown.

Further, India, the world's fastest-growing economy, reported the fourth quarter GDP at 6.6 percent, the lowest in five quarters. 

Also, US crude output hit a record of more than 12 million bpd, pushing exports to an unprecedented 3.6 million bpd in February.

Put simply, the oil market could remain amply supplied in the near future. As a result, recent lows below $64.50 could soon come into play. 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, reclaims 1.1600 and beyond

Following an earlier drop to yearly lows around 1.1530, EUR/USD now manages to recoup part of the ground lost and reclaim the area above 1.1600 the figure in the latter part of the NA session on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the pair’s marked retracement comes in response to the unabate march norht in the US Dollar, always propped up by the intense flight-to-safety environment amid the deteriorating geopolitical landscape in the Middle East.

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold bounces off lows, back above $5,100

Gold remains on the defensive, eroding part of the recent multi-day advance and managing to trade back above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal initially dropped just below the critical $5,000 threshold on the back of the persistent strength of the Greenback, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and investors' repricing of Fed rate cuts.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back as sentiment remains in extreme market fear

The cryptocurrency market is broadly in the red on Tuesday as the Middle East grapples with an escalating war. Bitcoin (BTC) is in a pullback, trading below $67,000 at the time of writing, and most altcoins follow suit.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.