BoJ’s Ueda: Possible rate increase in July depending on data
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Tuesday that there is a chance that the Japanese central bank could raise interest rates at the July meeting, depending on economic, price and financial data and information available at the time.
Key quotes
Sees moderate recovery in Japan's economy.
Expects a gradual rise in price trend.
Monitoring the FX impact on the economy and inflation.
Data out since April is roughly in line with BoJ estimates.
To conduct appropriate policy aligned with economic conditions
To adjust the degree of easing as needed using rates.
Sees economic data in line with expectations.
Sees uncertainty in expected price increase.
JGB yields are determined by the market.
Aims to boost market influence by reducing bond purchases.
Difficult to determine scale of reduction in bond purchases now.
Seeks predictability for bond purchases.
Sees possible rate increase in July depending on data.
Rate hikes and bond purchases are distinct matters.As we taper bond buying, we will of course be aiming to shrink size of our balance sheet in ratio to GDP terms.
Basic purpose of our bond tapering would be to allow yields to move more freely driven by market forces, and revive market functioning.
Japan's economy will likely see more clear signs of positive wage-inflation cycle as nominal wages rise.
Must be vigilant to impact of weak Yen, import price moves on economy.
Consumption likely to increase moderately as nominal wage gains accelerate.
For now, don't expect Japan to experience stagflation.
Market reaction
At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading 0.06% lower on the day to trade at 157.63.
Japanese Yen PRICE Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Euro.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.11% | 0.07% | -0.06% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.11% | -0.02% | |
| EUR | -0.11% | -0.06% | -0.20% | -0.02% | -0.09% | 0.00% | -0.14% | |
| GBP | -0.07% | 0.06% | -0.14% | 0.05% | -0.02% | 0.07% | -0.09% | |
| JPY | 0.06% | 0.20% | 0.14% | 0.18% | 0.10% | 0.19% | 0.04% | |
| CAD | -0.10% | 0.02% | -0.05% | -0.18% | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.13% | |
| AUD | -0.05% | 0.09% | 0.02% | -0.10% | 0.06% | 0.07% | -0.06% | |
| NZD | -0.11% | -0.00% | -0.07% | -0.19% | 0.01% | -0.07% | -0.14% | |
| CHF | 0.02% | 0.14% | 0.09% | -0.04% | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.14% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).
Author
Lallalit Srijandorn
FXStreet
Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.
