BoE: A long extension is could pave the way for an August hike - Nordea Markets


Commenting on the Bank of England monetary policy statement, Nordea Markets analyst Morten Lund noted that the bank kept its policy rate on hold as expected while waiting for Brexit developments and argued that a rate hike in August could be possible if the EU were to grant a long Article 50 extension to the UK.

Key quotes

"The BoE’s hands are currently tied as the bank awaits further news on Brexit. If either Theresa May manages to pass her deal before March 29 or if the UK and EU agree to a long deadline extension, we think it is plausible that the BoE will hike in August. Thus, both outcomes should decrease uncertainty somewhat in the short-run and make room for a hike, as the “wage hawks” in the MPC probably have been wanting for a while."

"In case of a short extension to June 30 – as Theresa May has officially asked the EU for – the risk is clearly tilted towards a rate hike in November instead of August. Hence, the MPC will most likely need to see some months of data points with evidence that growth is bouncing back, before making a hawkish move."

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD remains depressed but off daily lows

The EUR/USD pair is recovering from a daily low of 1.1216, although holding in negative territory for the day. US preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index improved by less-than-anticipated in July, coming in at 98.4 vs. the 98.5 expected.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trading marginally lower daily basis but above 1.2500

The Pound gave back some of its Thursday’s gain on dollar’s relief. The GBP/USD pair broke a daily descendant trend line coming from June’s high and holds above it, leaving little room for sellers to act.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY: bears pausing, still in control

Japanese National Inflation steady at 0.7%YoY in June. US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index expected at 98.5 in July. USD/JPY corrective advance falling short of signaling an interim bottom in place.

USD/JPY News

Gold consolidates around $ 1440, eyes US data for fresh direction

Gold (futures on Comex) extends its side-trend around the 1440 mark into the mid-European session, having stalled its retreat from 2019 highs of 1454 near 1437 region.

Gold News

Something has spooked the Fed

We wish we knew what it is. Wild talk of the US joining Japan and Europe with zero or negative return on the 10-year is or should be very frightening.

Read more

MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures


  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •