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BABA: The nearest target for short positions is 49.00

The current chart of BABA shares hints at the construction of a bearish trend taking the form of a cycle triple zigzag w-x-y-x-z.

Chart

We see a completed actionary wave y, which has the form of a primary double zigzag Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ, and a second small intervening wave x, also representing a double zigzag.

Now the formation of the final actionary wave z is taking place, which, most likely, will take the form of a primary standard zigzag Ⓐ-Ⓑ-Ⓒ.

The primary wave Ⓐ has the form of an impulse (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), for the completion of which a minor sub-wave 5 is needed. Its end is expected near 49.00. At that level, unfinished wave z will be at 38.2% of wave y. Then market participants can expect a small correction in the wave Ⓑ

Chart

The second chart hints that the formation of the reactionary intervening wave is not completed. Here it will take the form of a double zigzag of the primary degree Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ. The first two zigzag sub-waves Ⓦ-Ⓧ look finished.

Now the price is in the wave Ⓨ. It is assumed that this wave will take a standard zigzag structure of the intermediate degree (A)-(B)-(C), as shown in the chart.

The growth of shares should be expected to 140.10. At the level of 140.10, cycle intervening wave x will be at 38.2% of actionary wave y.

Author

Jing Ren

Jing-Ren has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London.

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