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AUD/USD turns positive as AU-US yield spread rises 6 bps, focus on today's close

  • AUD/USD is now trading in the green, having hit a low of 0.7164 earlier today.
  • The AU-US 10-year yield spread is on the rise, thus the AUD may rise further.
  • A close above 0.7192 is needed to validate Friday's bullish outside day.

The AUD/USD pair seems to have picked up a bid, tracking the rise in the spread between the Australian and US 10-year government bond yields.

The currency pair is currently trading at 0.7180, representing a 0.10 percent gain on the day, having hit a low of 0.7164 earlier today.

Meanwhile, the 10-year yield spread is seen at -60 basis points; up eight basis points from Friday's close of -68 basis points.

The fact that the uptick in the AUD is accompanied by an improvement in the AU-US yield differential indicates the pair could rise further, possibly above Friday's high of 0.7192. A close above that level would add credence to the bullish outside day (candle) created on Friday and open the doors for a re-test of recent highs near 0.73.

More importantly, a bullish close looks likely as riskier assets appear to be cheering the US' decision to soften its stance on China's subsidies in a bid to secure a deal next month.

Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7179
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open0.7171
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7111
Daily SMA500.711
Daily SMA1000.7139
Daily SMA2000.7195
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7193
Previous Daily Low0.7115
Previous Weekly High0.7193
Previous Weekly Low0.7087
Previous Monthly High0.7168
Previous Monthly Low0.7002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7163
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7145
Daily Pivot Point S10.7126
Daily Pivot Point S20.7082
Daily Pivot Point S30.7048
Daily Pivot Point R10.7204
Daily Pivot Point R20.7238
Daily Pivot Point R30.7282

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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