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AUD/USD trades with modest losses below 0.6900

  • AUD/USD is trading in a narrow band below 0.6900.
  • US Dollar Index turns flat on the day near 97.40.
  • Personal Spending in US is expected to increase by 9% in May.

The AUD/USD pair closed the day little changed on Thursday and extended its sideways grind into a second straight day on Friday. As of writing, the pair was down 0.15% on the day at 0.6875.

Attention shifts to US data

In the absence of significant macroeconomic data releases and fundamental drivers, the pair is having a difficult time making a decisive move in either direction. Although the greenback stays resilient against its peers following the two-day rally, the upbeat market mood helps the AUD limit its losses.

In the early American session, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data. More importantly, Personal Spending and Personal Income figures will be watched closely by market participants.

Ahead of these data, the US Dollar Index is flat on the day at 97.44. If Personal Spending reading shows a strong-than-expected recovery in May, the greenback could start losing interest as a safe-haven and risk-off flows could lift AUD/USD back above 0.6900.

Assessing AUD/USD's near-term outlook, "the RBA’s stance on the aussie is noteworthy as the central bank has omitted any mention of it in recent statements," said Patrick Bennett from CIBC Capital Markets. "To us, that suggests comfort with present levels, confirmed by Governor Lowe who has said ‘I would like a lower currency at some point...but at the moment, I think it is really hard to argue the Australian dollar is overvalued'."

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6875
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.6887
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6893
Daily SMA500.6643
Daily SMA1000.6501
Daily SMA2000.6667
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6893
Previous Daily Low0.6846
Previous Weekly High0.6977
Previous Weekly Low0.6776
Previous Monthly High0.6683
Previous Monthly Low0.6372
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6875
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6864
Daily Pivot Point S10.6858
Daily Pivot Point S20.6829
Daily Pivot Point S30.6811
Daily Pivot Point R10.6905
Daily Pivot Point R20.6922
Daily Pivot Point R30.6952

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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