- AUD/USD lacked any firm directional bias and remained confined in a range on Wednesday.
- A combination of factors extended some support to the USD and capped gains for the major.
- Bulls shrugged off slightly stronger Australian CPI as the focus remains on FOMC decision.
The AUD/USD pair extended its sideways consolidative price action and remained confined in a narrow trading band, around mid-0.7300s heading into the European session.
The pair, so far, has been struggling to register any meaningful recovery and oscillating in a range over the past one week or so. Given the recent fall to the lowest level since November 2020, this might still be categorized as a bearish consolidation phase as investors await a fresh catalyst before placing any directional bets.
Hence, the key focus will remain on the outcome of a two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, scheduled to be announced later during the US session. Market participants will look for a clear answer to the crucial question of when the tapering will start, which, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the US dollar in the near term.
In the meantime, the shaky risk sentiment extended some support to the safe-haven USD and acted as a headwind for the perceived riskier aussie. Worries about the economic fallout from the fast-spreading Delta variant of the coronavirus, along with China's regulatory crackdown, has sent ripples through the global equity markets.
Apart from this, the greenback was further supported by a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields. The combination of factors, to a larger extent, offset slightly better-than-expected Australian consumer inflation figures. In fact, the headline CPI rose 0.8% during the second quarter, though did little to impress bullish traders.
From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair's inability to gain any meaningful traction clearly suggests that the near-term bearish trend might still be far from being over. Hence, any meaningful upside back towards the 0.7400 mark might be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.
Technical levels to watch
|Today last price||0.7354|
|Today Daily Change||-0.0011|
|Today Daily Change %||-0.15|
|Today daily open||0.7365|
|Previous Daily High||0.7389|
|Previous Daily Low||0.7336|
|Previous Weekly High||0.7417|
|Previous Weekly Low||0.7288|
|Previous Monthly High||0.7794|
|Previous Monthly Low||0.7477|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||0.7357|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||0.7369|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||0.7338|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||0.7311|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||0.7286|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||0.7391|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||0.7416|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||0.7443|
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