|

AUD/USD still room for a test of 0.7560 – UOB

In opinion of FX Strategists at UOB Group, the Aussie Dollar could still depreciate towards the 0.7560 area vs. the greenback, although this view has lost some traction as of late.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We highlighted last Friday that “a test of the major 0.7630 support would not be surprising but 0.7600 is unlikely to be seriously challenged”. AUD dipped to a low of 0.7625 before rebounding quickly. Downward momentum has eased and the current price action is viewed as part of a consolidation phase. In other words, sideways trading is expected for today, likely between 0.7640 and 0.7700”.

Next 1-3 weeks: “The 0.7630 target that was first highlighted last Thursday was exceeded as AUD dipped to a low 0.7625 during NY hours on Friday. Downward momentum has eased somewhat with the rapid rebound from the low but it is too early to expect a short-term bottom. The outlook for AUD is deemed as bearish until 0.7735 is taken out (stop-loss adjusted lower from 0.7755). Until then, another down-leg towards 0.7560 is not ruled out even though the odds for such a move are not that high”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.