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AUD/USD sticks to dovish RBA minutes-inspired losses, well offered below 0.6700 mark

  • AUD/USD retreats from a nearly two-week high in reaction to the dovish RBA meeting minutes.
  • A further recovery in the US bond yields lends support to the USD and contributes to the slide.
  • Bets for a less hawkish Fed cap the upside for the Greenback amid a generally positive risk tone.

The AUD/USD pair comes under heavy selling pressure on Tuesday and snaps a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week high, around the 0.6730 area touched the previous day. The pair maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session and is currently placed around the 0.6675-0.6670 region, down nearly 0.70% for the day.

The Australian Dollar weakens a bit in reaction to the release of the dovish-sounding Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting minutes, which indicated that a pause in the rate-hiking cycle may be on the cards next month. The Australian central bank, however, warned that it will continue to do whatever is necessary to bring inflation back into line, though did little to impress bulls or lend any support to the AUD/USD pair. This, along with a modest US Dollar bounce from a five-week low touched on Monday, further contributes to the offered tone surrounding the major.

A further recovery in the US Treasury bond yields - bolstered by easing fears of a widespread contagion risk - turns out to be a key factor lending some support to the USD. That said, firming expectations for a less aggressive policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could cap any meaningful upside for the US bond yields. Apart from this, a generally positive risk tone, supported by the news that UBS will rescue Credit Suisse in a $3.24 billion deal, keeps a lid on the safe-haven Greenback and might help limit deeper losses for the risk-sensitive Aussie, at least for the time being.

Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC meeting, starting this Tuesday. The Fed will announce its decision on Wednesday and is widely expected to deliver a smaller 25 bps rate hike. Market participants also expect that the US central bank might even cut rates during the second half of the year. Hence, investors will look for fresh clues about the Fed's future rate-hike path, which will influence the near-term USD price dynamics and determine the near-term trajectory for the AUD/USD pair.

Heading into the key central bank event risk, traders on Tuesday might take cues from the release of the US Existing Home Sales data, due later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields, will drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment could further contribute to producing short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6673
Today Daily Change-0.0046
Today Daily Change %-0.68
Today daily open0.6719
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6702
Daily SMA500.6867
Daily SMA1000.6781
Daily SMA2000.6764
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.673
Previous Daily Low0.6666
Previous Weekly High0.6725
Previous Weekly Low0.6579
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6706
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.669
Daily Pivot Point S10.668
Daily Pivot Point S20.6641
Daily Pivot Point S30.6616
Daily Pivot Point R10.6744
Daily Pivot Point R20.6769
Daily Pivot Point R30.6808

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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